No Warnings, Watches, or Advisories

GTXWXBot[TX]:

SHV continues Flood Warning for Neches River near Neches [TX] until further notice
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 12:44:00

478 
WGUS84 KSHV 181743
FLSSHV


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1243 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-191743-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.190315T2315Z.190321T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1243 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

The flood warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Neches.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Monday The stage was 12.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.8 feet by 
  Wednesday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding of the heavily
  wooded floodplain. Ranchers that may have livestock and equipment 
  in the river bottoms should move them to higher ground.  Expect 
  minor flooding of the boat ramp.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9544 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 18, 12:40 PM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 12:40:21

105 
FXUS64 KFWD 181740 AAB
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1240 PM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019


.AVIATION...
/18z Tafs/

VFR conditions will continue at the DFW Metroplex and Waco 
terminals over the next 24 to 30 hours. Winds will gradually
become southeasterly this afternoon and then southerly by the end
of period. Wind speeds on average will be around 5 to 6 knots. 
Only some passing high level clouds are expected.

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 306 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019/
/Today and tonight/

Surface high pressure currently centered over the Central Plains will
build eastward through the day while surface low pressure deepens
across southeastern Colorado. As a result, a southeasterly wind 
and low level moisture will both slowly increase through the day. 
Abundant sunshine and weak low level warm air advection will 
result in a mild afternoon with highs ranging from the middle 60s
to near 70. Temperatures tonight will also be a bit warmer with 
lows generally in the middle 40s.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 306 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019/
/Tuesday through Sunday/

Low level warm/moist advection will continue on Tuesday as an
upper low swings through the Central Plains, sending a cold front
southward toward the Red River. The increase in moisture and only
scattered clouds will yield another seasonably mild day with 
highs in the middle and upper 60s. Lows Tuesday night will cool
into the mid and upper 40s. 

The cold front will move slowly south across North Texas on 
Wednesday while the upper low rotates toward the mid Mississippi 
Valley. Some weak large scale lift and elevated moisture may help 
to produce a few showers across the northeast zones on Wednesday.
Otherwise, it will be partly to mostly sunny and a touch cooler 
Wednesday with highs ranging from near 60 along the Red River to 
the upper 60s in Central Texas.

Brief ridging aloft will occur Wednesday night and Thursday ahead
of a developing low pressure system on the West Coast. The 
postfrontal airmass will quickly modify with abundant sunshine 
and mixing. Therefore, temperatures Thursday will be a bit warmer
than Wednesday with highs generally in the middle and upper 60s.

The upper ridge axis will translate to the east Thursday night 
while the upper low moves into the Central Rockies. Increasing
large scale lift coupled with increasing moisture will result in
scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially across the western
zones on Friday. Any storms that do develop should remain elevated
with meager surface based CAPE and only moderate mid level
instability. 

Better thunderstorm chances will arrive Friday night/Saturday  
when the upper trough moves east across the state. The latest 
model runs indicate more favorable low level instability (MU CAPE
between 1000 and 1500 J/KG) and steeper mid level lapse rates. 
Therefore, a few strong storms will be possible. Precipitation 
should end from west to east Saturday afternoon as the upper 
trough opens up and lifts quickly northeast. 

Sunday will be a warm and breezy day with downsloping winds and 
plenty of sun, although a few showers/storms may linger in the
morning depending on how fast the upper trough moves. Afternoon 
highs should have no problem climbing into the 70s.

Looking ahead, the upper pattern is progged to become quite
amplified a week from now with a building ridge across the 
western states and a deep trough in the east. This should result 
in some of the warmest temperatures across North and Central Texas
thus far this season, just in time for the fist full week of 
astronomical spring. 

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  46  67  48  65 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                67  44  67  46  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               67  43  67  47  62 /   0   0   0   0  20 
Denton              67  43  68  47  63 /   0   0   0   0   5 
McKinney            67  43  67  48  63 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              69  47  69  49  66 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             68  44  68  47  66 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           68  46  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Temple              67  44  67  46  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       67  43  68  47  64 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

TB

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 18, 7:01 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 07:01:37

247 
FXUS64 KFWD 181201
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
701 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019


.AVIATION...
VFR at all TAF sites through tonight with few to scattered high 
clouds across the Metroplex TAF sites and scattered to broken high
clouds in Waco. 

A light, mainly north to northeast, wind this morning will become
southeast this afternoon with speeds increasing between 5 and 7 
knots. 

79

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 306 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019/
/Today and tonight/

Surface high pressure currently centered over the Central Plains will
build eastward through the day while surface low pressure deepens
across southeastern Colorado. As a result, a southeasterly wind 
and low level moisture will both slowly increase through the day. 
Abundant sunshine and weak low level warm air advection will 
result in a mild afternoon with highs ranging from the middle 60s
to near 70. Temperatures tonight will also be a bit warmer with 
lows generally in the middle 40s.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 306 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019/
/Tuesday through Sunday/

Low level warm/moist advection will continue on Tuesday as an
upper low swings through the Central Plains, sending a cold front
southward toward the Red River. The increase in moisture and only
scattered clouds will yield another seasonably mild day with 
highs in the middle and upper 60s. Lows Tuesday night will cool
into the mid and upper 40s. 

The cold front will move slowly south across North Texas on 
Wednesday while the upper low rotates toward the mid Mississippi 
Valley. Some weak large scale lift and elevated moisture may help 
to produce a few showers across the northeast zones on Wednesday.
Otherwise, it will be partly to mostly sunny and a touch cooler 
Wednesday with highs ranging from near 60 along the Red River to 
the upper 60s in Central Texas.

Brief ridging aloft will occur Wednesday night and Thursday ahead
of a developing low pressure system on the West Coast. The 
postfrontal airmass will quickly modify with abundant sunshine 
and mixing. Therefore, temperatures Thursday will be a bit warmer
than Wednesday with highs generally in the middle and upper 60s.

The upper ridge axis will translate to the east Thursday night 
while the upper low moves into the Central Rockies. Increasing
large scale lift coupled with increasing moisture will result in
scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially across the western
zones on Friday. Any storms that do develop should remain elevated
with meager surface based CAPE and only moderate mid level
instability. 

Better thunderstorm chances will arrive Friday night/Saturday  
when the upper trough moves east across the state. The latest 
model runs indicate more favorable low level instability (MU CAPE
between 1000 and 1500 J/KG) and steeper mid level lapse rates. 
Therefore, a few strong storms will be possible. Precipitation 
should end from west to east Saturday afternoon as the upper 
trough opens up and lifts quickly northeast. 

Sunday will be a warm and breezy day with downsloping winds and 
plenty of sun, although a few showers/storms may linger in the
morning depending on how fast the upper trough moves. Afternoon 
highs should have no problem climbing into the 70s.

Looking ahead, the upper pattern is progged to become quite
amplified a week from now with a building ridge across the 
western states and a deep trough in the east. This should result 
in some of the warmest temperatures across North and Central Texas
thus far this season, just in time for the fist full week of 
astronomical spring. 

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  46  67  48  65 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                67  44  67  46  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               67  43  67  47  62 /   0   0   0   0  20 
Denton              67  43  68  47  63 /   0   0   0   0   5 
McKinney            67  43  67  48  63 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              69  47  69  49  66 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             68  44  68  47  66 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           68  46  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Temple              67  44  67  46  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       67  43  68  47  64 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

79/25

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 18, 3:44 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 03:45:03

068 
FLUS44 KFWD 180844
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
344 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-190845-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
344 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorm chances will return to locations west of the US 281 
corridor Thursday night and increase from the west Friday through 
Saturday. A few strong storms will be possible, but widespread 
severe weather is not expected at this time. All storms will exit 
the region by Sunday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 18, 3:06 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 03:06:47

484 
FXUS64 KFWD 180806
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
306 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019


.SHORT TERM...
/Today and tonight/

Surface high pressure currently centered over the Central Plains will
build eastward through the day while surface low pressure deepens
across southeastern Colorado. As a result, a southeasterly wind 
and low level moisture will both slowly increase through the day. 
Abundant sunshine and weak low level warm air advection will 
result in a mild afternoon with highs ranging from the middle 60s
to near 70. Temperatures tonight will also be a bit warmer with 
lows generally in the middle 40s.

79

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Tuesday through Sunday/

Low level warm/moist advection will continue on Tuesday as an
upper low swings through the Central Plains, sending a cold front
southward toward the Red River. The increase in moisture and only
scattered clouds will yield another seasonably mild day with 
highs in the middle and upper 60s. Lows Tuesday night will cool
into the mid and upper 40s. 

The cold front will move slowly south across North Texas on 
Wednesday while the upper low rotates toward the mid Mississippi 
Valley. Some weak large scale lift and elevated moisture may help 
to produce a few showers across the northeast zones on Wednesday.
Otherwise, it will be partly to mostly sunny and a touch cooler 
Wednesday with highs ranging from near 60 along the Red River to 
the upper 60s in Central Texas.

Brief ridging aloft will occur Wednesday night and Thursday ahead
of a developing low pressure system on the West Coast. The 
postfrontal airmass will quickly modify with abundant sunshine 
and mixing. Therefore, temperatures Thursday will be a bit warmer
than Wednesday with highs generally in the middle and upper 60s.

The upper ridge axis will translate to the east Thursday night 
while the upper low moves into the Central Rockies. Increasing
large scale lift coupled with increasing moisture will result in
scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially across the western
zones on Friday. Any storms that do develop should remain elevated
with meager surface based CAPE and only moderate mid level
instability. 

Better thunderstorm chances will arrive Friday night/Saturday  
when the upper trough moves east across the state. The latest 
model runs indicate more favorable low level instability (MU CAPE
between 1000 and 1500 J/KG) and steeper mid level lapse rates. 
Therefore, a few strong storms will be possible. Precipitation 
should end from west to east Saturday afternoon as the upper 
trough opens up and lifts quickly northeast. 

Sunday will be a warm and breezy day with downsloping winds and 
plenty of sun, although a few showers/storms may linger in the
morning depending on how fast the upper trough moves. Afternoon 
highs should have no problem climbing into the 70s.

Looking ahead, the upper pattern is progged to become quite
amplified a week from now with a building ridge across the 
western states and a deep trough in the east. This should result 
in some of the warmest temperatures across North and Central Texas
thus far this season, just in time for the fist full week of 
astronomical spring. 

79

&&


.AVIATION... /Issued 1127 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/06Z TAFs/

Tranquil flying conditions will persist through the day Monday,
characterized by light winds and only passing upper-level clouds.
Winds will be quite light and variable at times at our local
airports through the remainder of the night. Placement of a weak 
surface ridge axis may tend to support slight southeasterly flow 
at Metroplex sites and northerly flow at KACT. However, northerly 
winds less than 5 kt may occur across DFW as well at times. After
sunrise, a deepening boundary layer should encourage a return to
more consistent south/southeasterly winds, albeit light and less 
than 10 kt.

Picca

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    46  67  48  65  45 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Waco                44  67  46  67  44 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               43  67  47  62  42 /   0   0   0  20   5 
Denton              43  68  47  63  42 /   0   0   0   5   5 
McKinney            43  67  48  63  43 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Dallas              47  69  49  66  47 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Terrell             44  68  47  66  44 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Corsicana           46  67  47  67  45 /   0   0   0   5   5 
Temple              44  67  46  67  45 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Mineral Wells       43  68  47  64  44 /   0   0   0   5   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

79/25

DALLAS FORT WORTH Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 39 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 02:15:43

618 
CDUS44 KFWD 180715
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
215 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2019


................................... 

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         66    502 PM  92    1908  69     -3       81       
  MINIMUM         39    631 AM  26    1934  47     -8       54       
  AVERAGE         53                        58     -5       68      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.10 1911   0.12  -0.12     0.58    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.60                      1.94  -0.34     0.65    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.60                      1.94  -0.34     0.65    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.47                      6.73  -2.26    12.81    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.9  1934   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      T                         1.5   -1.5       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       12                         8      4        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  257                       170     87       91       
  SINCE MAR 1    257                       170     87       91       
  SINCE JUL 1   2249                      2102    147     1758       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        3       
  MONTH TO DATE    4                        15    -11       25       
  SINCE MAR 1      4                        15    -11       25       
  SINCE JAN 1     21                        22     -1       47       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (130)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    14   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     N (360)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.0                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    79           700 AM                                     
 LOWEST     20           500 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    50                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        92      1907                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   48        20      1923                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   
MARCH 19 2019.........SUNRISE   733 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

WACO Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 65 Low: 33 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 02:15:43

617 
CDUS44 KFWD 180715
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
215 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2019


................................... 

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         65    437 PM  88    1972  70     -5       84       
  MINIMUM         33    607 AM  30    2005  47    -14       47       
  AVERAGE         49                        58     -9       66      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.20 1905   0.11  -0.11     0.22    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.27                      1.86  -0.59     0.83    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.27                      1.86  -0.59     0.83    
  SINCE JAN 1      6.85                      6.61   0.24     3.26    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.1                       0.9   -0.8       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       16                         8      8        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  239                       161     78      116       
  SINCE MAR 1    239                       161     78      116       
  SINCE JUL 1   2101                      1973    128     1919       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        1       
  MONTH TO DATE    6                        16    -10       16       
  SINCE MAR 1      6                        16    -10       16       
  SINCE JAN 1     21                        25     -4       36       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    12   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (80)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.6                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    89           500 AM                                     
 LOWEST     26           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    58                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   70        89      1908                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   48        26      1980                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   
MARCH 19 2019.........SUNRISE   734 AM CDT   SUNSET   740 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 11:27 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 23:27:52

460 
FXUS64 KFWD 180427
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1127 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFs/

Tranquil flying conditions will persist through the day Monday,
characterized by light winds and only passing upper-level clouds.
Winds will be quite light and variable at times at our local
airports through the remainder of the night. Placement of a weak 
surface ridge axis may tend to support slight southeasterly flow 
at Metroplex sites and northerly flow at KACT. However, northerly 
winds less than 5 kt may occur across DFW as well at times. After
sunrise, a deepening boundary layer should encourage a return to
more consistent south/southeasterly winds, albeit light and less 
than 10 kt.

Picca

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 318 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Tonight and Monday/

Our quiescent stretch of weather will continue to start of the
week. High pressure will shift off to the east of the region
tonight and will eventually allow light southerly flow to return.
A weak shortwave will move across the Trans-Pecos region on
Monday, but with low-level moisture remaining in short supply,
only anticipating a slight increase in mid-high cloud cover
through the afternoon/evening. Nudged high temperatures up a bit
above the blended guidance which has been a touch too cool over
the past few days. 

Carlaw

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 318 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Monday Night Through Saturday Night/

A shortwave will lift northeast out of Northern Mexico and into a
faster and more confluent/fast mid-level flow over North and 
Central Texas. Though the NAM12 has some potential isolated 
showers associated with this feature, instability and moisture per
model point soundings look benign and lacking respectively to 
introduce any low measurable rain chances with this feature. I do 
suspect there will be plentiful mid-high level cloudiness 
associated with this feature through the morning hours Tuesday. 
The shortwave and its associated cloud cover should disperse 
quickly east out of the area by afternoon -- allowing plentiful 
insolation to combine with continued south winds for highs to warm
quickly to between 65 and 70 degrees. Another more potent 
shortwave disturbance in the northern branch of the jet stream 
will dive southeastward from the Central Plains/Ozarks toward the 
Lower Mississippi Valley later Tuesday and Wednesday. Models have 
varying degree of intensity with this shortwave as it drags a weak
cold front into the region. I will continue with only a mention 
of sprinkles at this time, as we remain just southwest of the 
better large scale ascent with dry air being plentiful below 
700mb. In addition, a relatively warm layer aloft between 
600-500mb should basically keep instability at a very bare 
minimum. Highs should remain in the 60s -- warmest across Central 
Texas despite some higher level cloudiness that exits the area 
again Wednesday night. 

Models continue to struggle with the organizing mid level low 
diving southward across Southern California and The Great Basin 
region Thursday into Friday. A pretty stout shortwave ridge will 
form over the state and Southern Plains well in advance of this 
feature and in wake of our aforementioned mid-week disturbance to 
the exiting east of North and Central Texas. Even as the shortwave
ridge slides east over the Ozarks and Ark-La-Tex, the subsequent 
and increasing southwest flow aloft will likely enhance an 
elevated mixed layer (EML or capping inversion) across our area. 
Per coordination with sister offices, a slower trend of convective
chances was agreed upon meaning a few showers arriving underneath
a slow-rising EML is possible Thursday night and early Friday, 
before large-scale ascent and low level warm advection increase 
Friday night and into Saturday. 

As for any threat for strong or severe storms, the latter appears
to be fairly unlikely. Surface dew points will be in the 40s 
Friday before south winds bring modified Gulf moisture northward 
with an increase into the lower-mid 50 range on Saturday. This 
will basically lend to non-existent SBCAPE with just some 
increasing, but modest "elevated" instability and fairly marginal 
effective shear values, as the system out west is slow to move 
with no systems upstream to "kick" it along until we move into 
next weekend. That said, shower activity should become more likely
across the West Friday night, then spread eastward on Saturday, 
with better chances shifting east of I-35 Saturday night and 
Sunday. We certainly can't rule out a few stronger, "elevated" 
storms containing sub-severe hail later Friday Night and through 
Saturday night as lapse rates steepen across the region and MUCAPE
values above the boundary layer increase to between 500-1000 
J/KG.

It is very difficult to diagnose thermodynamic environments this 
far out in time, but multiple-model point soundings at this time
are in fairly good agreement that any severe weather threat looks
very limited, or "nil" at this time. Localized forecast rainfall 
amounts to between 1-1.25 inches across our southwest counties 
may lead to runoff and minor flood issues across low-lying areas.
However, any threat for flash flooding -- like it's severe weather
counterpart is looking unlikely next weekend. Temperatures should
continue to be mild with lows 45-55 degrees and highs warming to 
between 65-70 degrees, as breezy south winds crank up to between 
15-20 mph.

05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    43  69  45  67  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                39  67  43  69  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Paris               40  67  42  66  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Denton              38  67  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
McKinney            39  68  43  66  47 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Dallas              44  70  46  69  48 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             40  68  43  68  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           43  68  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Temple              40  67  44  68  47 /   0   0   5   0   5 
Mineral Wells       39  67  42  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

11/30

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 6:43 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 18:43:19

933 
FXUS64 KFWD 172343
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
643 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFs/

Benign weather conditions continue across area airports over the
next 24-30 hours. Some passing upper-level cirrus will cross the 
region at times, but VFR will prevail.

A weak surface ridge centered to our northeast is aiding a
primarily easterly wind component, albeit quite light. Boundary-
layer decoupling over the next several hours should then make
wind direction even more variable, with calm winds expected at 
times. Winds likely return to a more consistent southeasterly 
direction on Monday, owing to downward mixing of flow aloft. 
Still, winds should remain less than 10 kt.

Picca

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 318 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Tonight and Monday/

Our quiescent stretch of weather will continue to start of the
week. High pressure will shift off to the east of the region
tonight and will eventually allow light southerly flow to return.
A weak shortwave will move across the Trans-Pecos region on
Monday, but with low-level moisture remaining in short supply,
only anticipating a slight increase in mid-high cloud cover
through the afternoon/evening. Nudged high temperatures up a bit
above the blended guidance which has been a touch too cool over
the past few days. 

Carlaw

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 318 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Monday Night Through Saturday Night/

A shortwave will lift northeast out of Northern Mexico and into a
faster and more confluent/fast mid-level flow over North and 
Central Texas. Though the NAM12 has some potential isolated 
showers associated with this feature, instability and moisture per
model point soundings look benign and lacking respectively to 
introduce any low measurable rain chances with this feature. I do 
suspect there will be plentiful mid-high level cloudiness 
associated with this feature through the morning hours Tuesday. 
The shortwave and its associated cloud cover should disperse 
quickly east out of the area by afternoon -- allowing plentiful 
insolation to combine with continued south winds for highs to warm
quickly to between 65 and 70 degrees. Another more potent 
shortwave disturbance in the northern branch of the jet stream 
will dive southeastward from the Central Plains/Ozarks toward the 
Lower Mississippi Valley later Tuesday and Wednesday. Models have 
varying degree of intensity with this shortwave as it drags a weak
cold front into the region. I will continue with only a mention 
of sprinkles at this time, as we remain just southwest of the 
better large scale ascent with dry air being plentiful below 
700mb. In addition, a relatively warm layer aloft between 
600-500mb should basically keep instability at a very bare 
minimum. Highs should remain in the 60s -- warmest across Central 
Texas despite some higher level cloudiness that exits the area 
again Wednesday night. 

Models continue to struggle with the organizing mid level low 
diving southward across Southern California and The Great Basin 
region Thursday into Friday. A pretty stout shortwave ridge will 
form over the state and Southern Plains well in advance of this 
feature and in wake of our aforementioned mid-week disturbance to 
the exiting east of North and Central Texas. Even as the shortwave
ridge slides east over the Ozarks and Ark-La-Tex, the subsequent 
and increasing southwest flow aloft will likely enhance an 
elevated mixed layer (EML or capping inversion) across our area. 
Per coordination with sister offices, a slower trend of convective
chances was agreed upon meaning a few showers arriving underneath
a slow-rising EML is possible Thursday night and early Friday, 
before large-scale ascent and low level warm advection increase 
Friday night and into Saturday. 

As for any threat for strong or severe storms, the latter appears
to be fairly unlikely. Surface dew points will be in the 40s 
Friday before south winds bring modified Gulf moisture northward 
with an increase into the lower-mid 50 range on Saturday. This 
will basically lend to non-existent SBCAPE with just some 
increasing, but modest "elevated" instability and fairly marginal 
effective shear values, as the system out west is slow to move 
with no systems upstream to "kick" it along until we move into 
next weekend. That said, shower activity should become more likely
across the West Friday night, then spread eastward on Saturday, 
with better chances shifting east of I-35 Saturday night and 
Sunday. We certainly can't rule out a few stronger, "elevated" 
storms containing sub-severe hail later Friday Night and through 
Saturday night as lapse rates steepen across the region and MUCAPE
values above the boundary layer increase to between 500-1000 
J/KG.

It is very difficult to diagnose thermodynamic environments this 
far out in time, but multiple-model point soundings at this time
are in fairly good agreement that any severe weather threat looks
very limited, or "nil" at this time. Localized forecast rainfall 
amounts to between 1-1.25 inches across our southwest counties 
may lead to runoff and minor flood issues across low-lying areas.
However, any threat for flash flooding -- like it's severe weather
counterpart is looking unlikely next weekend. Temperatures should
continue to be mild with lows 45-55 degrees and highs warming to 
between 65-70 degrees, as breezy south winds crank up to between 
15-20 mph.

05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    43  69  45  67  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                39  67  43  69  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Paris               40  67  42  66  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Denton              38  67  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
McKinney            39  68  43  66  47 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Dallas              44  70  46  69  48 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             40  68  43  68  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           43  68  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Temple              40  67  44  68  47 /   0   0   5   0   5 
Mineral Wells       39  67  42  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

11/30

DALLAS FORT WORTH Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 39 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 16:25:05

710 
CDUS44 KFWD 172124
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
424 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         66    256 PM  92    1908  69     -3       81       
  MINIMUM         39    631 AM  26    1934  47     -8       54       
  AVERAGE         53                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          1.10 1911   0.12  -0.12     0.58    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.60                      1.94  -0.34     0.65    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.60                      1.94  -0.34     0.65    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.47                      6.73  -2.26    12.81    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.9  1934   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      T                         1.5   -1.5       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (90)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    14   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     N (360)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.0                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        92      1907                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   48        20      1923                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   736 AM CDT   SUNSET   737 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$


WACO Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 65 Low: 33 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 16:25:05

709 
CDUS44 KFWD 172124
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
424 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         65    259 PM  88    1972  70     -5       84       
  MINIMUM         33    607 AM  30    2005  47    -14       47       
  AVERAGE         49                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          1.20 1905   0.11  -0.11     0.22    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.27                      1.86  -0.59     0.83    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.27                      1.86  -0.59     0.83    
  SINCE JAN 1      6.85                      6.61   0.24     3.26    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.0         0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.1                       0.9   -0.8       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    12   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (80)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.1                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   70        89      1908                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   48        26      1980                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   737 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$



FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 3:18 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 15:18:27

224 
FXUS64 KFWD 172018
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
318 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.SHORT TERM...
/Tonight and Monday/

Our quiescent stretch of weather will continue to start of the
week. High pressure will shift off to the east of the region
tonight and will eventually allow light southerly flow to return.
A weak shortwave will move across the Trans-Pecos region on
Monday, but with low-level moisture remaining in short supply,
only anticipating a slight increase in mid-high cloud cover
through the afternoon/evening. Nudged high temperatures up a bit
above the blended guidance which has been a touch too cool over
the past few days. 

Carlaw

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Monday Night Through Saturday Night/

A shortwave will lift northeast out of Northern Mexico and into a
faster and more confluent/fast mid-level flow over North and 
Central Texas. Though the NAM12 has some potential isolated 
showers associated with this feature, instability and moisture per
model point soundings look benign and lacking respectively to 
introduce any low measurable rain chances with this feature. I do 
suspect there will be plentiful mid-high level cloudiness 
associated with this feature through the morning hours Tuesday. 
The shortwave and its associated cloud cover should disperse 
quickly east out of the area by afternoon -- allowing plentiful 
insolation to combine with continued south winds for highs to warm
quickly to between 65 and 70 degrees. Another more potent 
shortwave disturbance in the northern branch of the jet stream 
will dive southeastward from the Central Plains/Ozarks toward the 
Lower Mississippi Valley later Tuesday and Wednesday. Models have 
varying degree of intensity with this shortwave as it drags a weak
cold front into the region. I will continue with only a mention 
of sprinkles at this time, as we remain just southwest of the 
better large scale ascent with dry air being plentiful below 
700mb. In addition, a relatively warm layer aloft between 
600-500mb should basically keep instability at a very bare 
minimum. Highs should remain in the 60s -- warmest across Central 
Texas despite some higher level cloudiness that exits the area 
again Wednesday night. 

Models continue to struggle with the organizing mid level low 
diving southward across Southern California and The Great Basin 
region Thursday into Friday. A pretty stout shortwave ridge will 
form over the state and Southern Plains well in advance of this 
feature and in wake of our aforementioned mid-week disturbance to 
the exiting east of North and Central Texas. Even as the shortwave
ridge slides east over the Ozarks and Ark-La-Tex, the subsequent 
and increasing southwest flow aloft will likely enhance an 
elevated mixed layer (EML or capping inversion) across our area. 
Per coordination with sister offices, a slower trend of convective
chances was agreed upon meaning a few showers arriving underneath
a slow-rising EML is possible Thursday night and early Friday, 
before large-scale ascent and low level warm advection increase 
Friday night and into Saturday. 

As for any threat for strong or severe storms, the latter appears
to be fairly unlikely. Surface dew points will be in the 40s 
Friday before south winds bring modified Gulf moisture northward 
with an increase into the lower-mid 50 range on Saturday. This 
will basically lend to non-existent SBCAPE with just some 
increasing, but modest "elevated" instability and fairly marginal 
effective shear values, as the system out west is slow to move 
with no systems upstream to "kick" it along until we move into 
next weekend. That said, shower activity should become more likely
across the West Friday night, then spread eastward on Saturday, 
with better chances shifting east of I-35 Saturday night and 
Sunday. We certainly can't rule out a few stronger, "elevated" 
storms containing sub-severe hail later Friday Night and through 
Saturday night as lapse rates steepen across the region and MUCAPE
values above the boundary layer increase to between 500-1000 
J/KG.

It is very difficult to diagnose thermodynamic environments this 
far out in time, but multiple-model point soundings at this time
are in fairly good agreement that any severe weather threat looks
very limited, or "nil" at this time. Localized forecast rainfall 
amounts to between 1-1.25 inches across our southwest counties 
may lead to runoff and minor flood issues across low-lying areas.
However, any threat for flash flooding -- like it's severe weather
counterpart is looking unlikely next weekend. Temperatures should
continue to be mild with lows 45-55 degrees and highs warming to 
between 65-70 degrees, as breezy south winds crank up to between 
15-20 mph.

05/

&&


.AVIATION... /Issued 1226 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/18z TAFs/

Tranquil weather with no major aviation concerns will continue
into Monday. High pressure has set up shop overhead early this
afternoon, and surface winds have responded by going calm/light
and variable. This high will slink off towards the east through
the rest of the day which should allow a light east-southeasterly
component to develop through the afternoon hours. Winds will 
probably go VRB03-04 tonight, but won't clutter the TAF up with 
additional lines. Will continue to show one-liners with wind 
speeds under 6-7 kts or so, allowing area airports to return to 
south flow operations. Waco will be just south of the core of high
pressure, keeping winds out of a 060-090 direction. 

Carlaw

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    43  69  45  67  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Waco                39  67  43  69  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Paris               40  67  42  66  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Denton              38  67  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0  10 
McKinney            39  68  43  66  47 /   0   0   0   0  10 
Dallas              44  70  46  69  48 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             40  68  43  68  47 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           43  68  43  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 
Temple              40  67  44  68  47 /   0   0   5   0   5 
Mineral Wells       39  67  42  67  46 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

05/90

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 17, 3:09 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 15:09:49

861 
FLUS44 KFWD 172009
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
309 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
309 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight. 
No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances will return to locales generally west of I-35 on
Friday, and then across all of North and Central Texas Friday night
and Saturday. A few storms could be strong with small hail being the
main threat. Widespread severe weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

Carlaw

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 12:26 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 12:26:36

307 
FXUS64 KFWD 171726 AAA
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1226 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.AVIATION...
/18z TAFs/

Tranquil weather with no major aviation concerns will continue
into Monday. High pressure has set up shop overhead early this
afternoon, and surface winds have responded by going calm/light
and variable. This high will slink off towards the east through
the rest of the day which should allow a light east-southeasterly
component to develop through the afternoon hours. Winds will 
probably go VRB03-04 tonight, but won't clutter the TAF up with 
additional lines. Will continue to show one-liners with wind 
speeds under 6-7 kts or so, allowing area airports to return to 
south flow operations. Waco will be just south of the core of high
pressure, keeping winds out of a 060-090 direction. 

Carlaw

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Today and tonight/

Dry and quiet weather will continue across North and Central Texas
through tonight due to subtle ridging aloft and weak high 
pressure at the surface. Some high clouds will be scattered around
the region today, but not enough to hinder daytime heating. 
Afternoon highs will warm into the lower and middle 60s with a 
light east to northeast wind. Efficient radiational cooling due to
the clear sky, light wind and dry air will allow temperatures to 
fall into the upper 30s and lower 40s tonight.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Monday through Saturday/

Mid level clouds will increase Monday/Monday night as a subtle 
shortwave moves across state. Low level moisture should be insufficient
for any measurable precipitation to fall, but the increase in 
clouds will slow heating a bit, especially across the southwest 
zones where afternoon highs will struggle to reach 60. The 
remainder of the CWA should see a bit more sun, resulting in 
slightly warmer temperatures. The clouds will keep temperatures up
a bit Monday night with lows mainly in the middle 40s.

The shortwave trough axis will move east of the region Tuesday
with decreasing clouds and mild temperatures (highs mainly in the
middle 60s). Low level moisture will also slowly increase Tuesday
in response to deepening low pressure across the Central Plains. 
This increase in low level moisture will keep overnight lows 
Tuesday night generally in the middle 40s. There is a low 
potential for a few showers near the Red River Tuesday night with 
the arrival of a weak cold front. For now we will ride with 10 
percent PoPs since moisture will be shallow and the main large 
scale lift associated with an upper trough will remain well to the
north. 

The cold front will slide farther south into North Texas Wednesday
morning and may help to produce a few light showers. However, the
moisture will be fairly limited and confluent flow aloft should
curb large scale upward vertical motion. Clouds associated with 
the front and weak cold air advection should keep high temperatures
in the 60s. 

The cold front is progged to ease through the entire forecast
area Wednesday night with slightly cooler temperatures expected
behind it (lows in the lower and middle 40s). However, the
slight cool down will be brief due to a building ridge aloft and 
abundant sun on Thursday. 

The upper ridge axis will pass to the east Thursday night/Friday 
as a low pressure system gathers strength across the Great Basin 
and Desert Southwest. The response to this approaching system will
be a steady increase in low level moisture and the return of 
precipitation chances to the forecast area, beginning in the far 
west Thursday night and expanding eastward Friday/Friday night. 
There are still timing differences among the models with regards 
to this system so will hold off on likely PoPs for now. There 
should be enough moisture, instability and wind shear to produce 
thunderstorms. However, a well defined source of low level 
moisture convergence may be absent. We will linger PoPs into 
Saturday due to the uncertainty in the speed of the system, but it
is very possible that storms could be east of the region by 
Saturday afternoon. It is much too early to assess the severe 
weather potential, but some of the ingredients for strong storms 
should be in place. More details will follow in the coming days. 

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    67  42  66  46  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Waco                66  40  65  44  66 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               66  41  65  43  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Denton              66  39  65  43  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            66  40  65  44  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              67  44  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             66  41  66  45  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           67  43  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Temple              65  40  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   5   0 
Mineral Wells       67  39  64  44  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

90/05

SHV continues Flood Warning for Neches River near Neches [TX] until further notice
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 08:24:10

408 
WGUS84 KSHV 171324
FLSSHV


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
824 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-181324-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.190315T2315Z.190321T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

The flood warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Neches.
* until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday The stage was 12.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.8 feet by 
  early Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding of the heavily
  wooded floodplain. Ranchers that may have livestock and equipment 
  in the river bottoms should move them to higher ground.  Expect 
  minor flooding of the boat ramp.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9544 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

25

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 6:56 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 06:56:43

835 
FXUS64 KFWD 171156
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
656 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFs/

VFR through Monday morning.

Other than scattered mid and high clouds, mainly across Central
Texas today, a mostly clear sky will prevail at all TAF sites 
through Monday morning.

A light, mainly east to northeast wind will continue through 
tonight as surface high pressure settles into the region. Wind 
speeds will remain generally less than 8 knots. 


79

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Today and tonight/

Dry and quiet weather will continue across North and Central Texas
through tonight due to subtle ridging aloft and weak high 
pressure at the surface. Some high clouds will be scattered around
the region today, but not enough to hinder daytime heating. 
Afternoon highs will warm into the lower and middle 60s with a 
light east to northeast wind. Efficient radiational cooling due to
the clear sky, light wind and dry air will allow temperatures to 
fall into the upper 30s and lower 40s tonight.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/
/Monday through Saturday/

Mid level clouds will increase Monday/Monday night as a subtle 
shortwave moves across state. Low level moisture should be insufficient
for any measurable precipitation to fall, but the increase in 
clouds will slow heating a bit, especially across the southwest 
zones where afternoon highs will struggle to reach 60. The 
remainder of the CWA should see a bit more sun, resulting in 
slightly warmer temperatures. The clouds will keep temperatures up
a bit Monday night with lows mainly in the middle 40s.

The shortwave trough axis will move east of the region Tuesday
with decreasing clouds and mild temperatures (highs mainly in the
middle 60s). Low level moisture will also slowly increase Tuesday
in response to deepening low pressure across the Central Plains. 
This increase in low level moisture will keep overnight lows 
Tuesday night generally in the middle 40s. There is a low 
potential for a few showers near the Red River Tuesday night with 
the arrival of a weak cold front. For now we will ride with 10 
percent PoPs since moisture will be shallow and the main large 
scale lift associated with an upper trough will remain well to the
north. 

The cold front will slide farther south into North Texas Wednesday
morning and may help to produce a few light showers. However, the
moisture will be fairly limited and confluent flow aloft should
curb large scale upward vertical motion. Clouds associated with 
the front and weak cold air advection should keep high temperatures
in the 60s. 

The cold front is progged to ease through the entire forecast
area Wednesday night with slightly cooler temperatures expected
behind it (lows in the lower and middle 40s). However, the
slight cool down will be brief due to a building ridge aloft and 
abundant sun on Thursday. 

The upper ridge axis will pass to the east Thursday night/Friday 
as a low pressure system gathers strength across the Great Basin 
and Desert Southwest. The response to this approaching system will
be a steady increase in low level moisture and the return of 
precipitation chances to the forecast area, beginning in the far 
west Thursday night and expanding eastward Friday/Friday night. 
There are still timing differences among the models with regards 
to this system so will hold off on likely PoPs for now. There 
should be enough moisture, instability and wind shear to produce 
thunderstorms. However, a well defined source of low level 
moisture convergence may be absent. We will linger PoPs into 
Saturday due to the uncertainty in the speed of the system, but it
is very possible that storms could be east of the region by 
Saturday afternoon. It is much too early to assess the severe 
weather potential, but some of the ingredients for strong storms 
should be in place. More details will follow in the coming days. 

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    64  42  66  46  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Waco                63  40  65  44  66 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               64  41  65  43  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Denton              63  39  65  43  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            63  40  65  44  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              65  44  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             64  41  66  45  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           63  43  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Temple              63  40  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   5   0 
Mineral Wells       63  39  64  44  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

79/25

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 17, 3:33 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 03:34:02

740 
FLUS44 KFWD 170833
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
333 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-180845-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
333 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances will return to locales generally west of U.S.
281 Thursday night, then mainly those areas west of Interstate
35 Friday into Friday evening. Strong storms will be possible with
small hail being the main threat. Widespread severe weather is not
expected at this time. 

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 3:28 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 03:28:42

259 
FXUS64 KFWD 170828
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019


.SHORT TERM...
/Today and tonight/

Dry and quiet weather will continue across North and Central Texas
through tonight due to subtle ridging aloft and weak high 
pressure at the surface. Some high clouds will be scattered around
the region today, but not enough to hinder daytime heating. 
Afternoon highs will warm into the lower and middle 60s with a 
light east to northeast wind. Efficient radiational cooling due to
the clear sky, light wind and dry air will allow temperatures to 
fall into the upper 30s and lower 40s tonight.

79

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Monday through Saturday/

Mid level clouds will increase Monday/Monday night as a subtle 
shortwave moves across state. Low level moisture should be insufficient
for any measurable precipitation to fall, but the increase in 
clouds will slow heating a bit, especially across the southwest 
zones where afternoon highs will struggle to reach 60. The 
remainder of the CWA should see a bit more sun, resulting in 
slightly warmer temperatures. The clouds will keep temperatures up
a bit Monday night with lows mainly in the middle 40s.

The shortwave trough axis will move east of the region Tuesday
with decreasing clouds and mild temperatures (highs mainly in the
middle 60s). Low level moisture will also slowly increase Tuesday
in response to deepening low pressure across the Central Plains. 
This increase in low level moisture will keep overnight lows 
Tuesday night generally in the middle 40s. There is a low 
potential for a few showers near the Red River Tuesday night with 
the arrival of a weak cold front. For now we will ride with 10 
percent PoPs since moisture will be shallow and the main large 
scale lift associated with an upper trough will remain well to the
north. 

The cold front will slide farther south into North Texas Wednesday
morning and may help to produce a few light showers. However, the
moisture will be fairly limited and confluent flow aloft should
curb large scale upward vertical motion. Clouds associated with 
the front and weak cold air advection should keep high temperatures
in the 60s. 

The cold front is progged to ease through the entire forecast
area Wednesday night with slightly cooler temperatures expected
behind it (lows in the lower and middle 40s). However, the
slight cool down will be brief due to a building ridge aloft and 
abundant sun on Thursday. 

The upper ridge axis will pass to the east Thursday night/Friday 
as a low pressure system gathers strength across the Great Basin 
and Desert Southwest. The response to this approaching system will
be a steady increase in low level moisture and the return of 
precipitation chances to the forecast area, beginning in the far 
west Thursday night and expanding eastward Friday/Friday night. 
There are still timing differences among the models with regards 
to this system so will hold off on likely PoPs for now. There 
should be enough moisture, instability and wind shear to produce 
thunderstorms. However, a well defined source of low level 
moisture convergence may be absent. We will linger PoPs into 
Saturday due to the uncertainty in the speed of the system, but it
is very possible that storms could be east of the region by 
Saturday afternoon. It is much too early to assess the severe 
weather potential, but some of the ingredients for strong storms 
should be in place. More details will follow in the coming days. 

79

&&


.AVIATION... /Issued 1125 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2019/
/06Z TAFs/

Tranquil flying conditions will persist through the entire TAF
period for area airports. Winds will generally be light and
variable overnight, but may occasionally trend from an
east/northeasterly direction given the center of a weak surface
ridge to the northeast. Otherwise, winds should slowly veer to the
east or even east/southeast through Sunday afternoon and evening.
Regardless, wind speeds will only be around 5 kt or less.

A BKN-OVC deck around 100-120 over Central Texas will dissipate 
and shift east through the remainder of the night, in conjunction
with the de-amplification of a shortwave trough transiting the 
region. Otherwise, only anticipate passing upper-level cirrus 
over the next 24-30 hours.

Picca

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    64  42  66  46  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Waco                63  40  65  44  66 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Paris               64  41  65  43  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Denton              63  39  65  43  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            63  40  65  44  64 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              65  44  67  47  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Terrell             64  41  66  45  67 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Corsicana           63  43  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Temple              63  40  65  45  65 /   0   0   0   5   0 
Mineral Wells       63  39  64  44  65 /   0   0   0   0   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

79/25

WACO Mar 16 Climate Report: High: 61 Low: 36 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 02:29:20

344 
CDUS44 KFWD 170729
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
229 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 16 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         61    348 PM  90    1902  69     -8       86       
  MINIMUM         36    705 AM  28    1913  47    -11       48       
  AVERAGE         49                        58     -9       67      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.03 1998   0.10  -0.10     0.00    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.27                      1.75  -0.48     0.61    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.27                      1.75  -0.48     0.61    
  SINCE JAN 1      6.85                      6.50   0.35     3.04    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           T    1928   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.1                       0.9   -0.8       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       16                         8      8        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  223                       153     70      116       
  SINCE MAR 1    223                       153     70      116       
  SINCE JUL 1   2085                      1965    120     1919       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        2       
  MONTH TO DATE    6                        15     -9       15       
  SINCE MAR 1      6                        15     -9       15       
  SINCE JAN 1     21                        24     -3       35       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (70)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NE (50)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     7.7                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    76           400 AM                                     
 LOWEST     29           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    53                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   70        88      1972                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   47        30      2005                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   737 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

DALLAS FORT WORTH Mar 16 Climate Report: High: 61 Low: 36 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 02:29:20

338 
CDUS44 KFWD 170729
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
229 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 16 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         61    431 PM  88    1908  68     -7       87       
  MINIMUM         36    637 AM  29    1947  47    -11       62       
  AVERAGE         49                        58     -9       75      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.33 1998   0.12  -0.12     0.00    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.60                      1.82  -0.22     0.07    
  SINCE MAR 1      1.60                      1.82  -0.22     0.07    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.47                      6.61  -2.14    12.23    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      T                         1.5   -1.5       T      
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       16                         8      8        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  245                       162     83       91       
  SINCE MAR 1    245                       162     83       91       
  SINCE JUL 1   2237                      2094    143     1758       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1       10       
  MONTH TO DATE    4                        14    -10       22       
  SINCE MAR 1      4                        14    -10       22       
  SINCE JAN 1     21                        21      0       44       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    15   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    19   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NE (30)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.2                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    70           500 AM                                     
 LOWEST     20           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    45                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   69        92      1908                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   47        26      1934                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   736 AM CDT   SUNSET   737 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   735 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$


GTXWXBot[OK]:

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 18, 11:44 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 11:44:30

422 
FLUS44 KOUN 181644
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1144 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191645-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1144 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible Friday through Sunday. Severe 
weather is not anticipated.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 18, 6:35 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 06:36:02

674 
FXUS64 KOUN 181135
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
635 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

.AVIATION...
TAFs 1812/1912...

VFR conditions are expected through the period. A northeast to
north wind is expected across northern Oklahoma today with light
and variable wind elsewhere. By this evening, a south to 
southeast wind will return. 


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 338 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...

A weak cold front across northern Oklahoma early this morning 
will lift northward and wash out during the day. It will leave 
behind light winds, abundant sunshine, and mild temperatures. 
Highs will top out in the 60s this afternoon for most of the area.

A fairly compact shortwave trough will dive southeastward across the 
central Plains on Tuesday, dragging a weak front through the area 
Tuesday night. Overall the system will be rather moisture starved 
and forcing will be weak. Therefore, only low PoPs and fairly light 
precipitation totals are forecast Tuesday night into Wednesday 
morning. Temperature will not drop significantly behind the front,
with highs Wednesday generally in the 50s. 

A deeper upper trough will move into the western US on Thursday, 
inducing pressure falls in the lee of the Rockies and returning 
our winds to southerly. Expect high temperatures to rebound into 
the 60s with rain chances also on the increase to our west. Rain 
chances will then increase for our area Friday into Saturday as 
the trough approaches. For now, instability looks fairly limited 
which should temper the severe threat. 

This trough lifts northeastward on Saturday, with models then 
quickly diverging on the upper pattern by Sunday. The ECMWF/EPS show 
another storm system quickly approaching with renewed rain chances, 
while the GFS/GEFS advertise shortwave ridging over our area ahead
of a deeper upper trough digging along the west coast of the US. 
With such large differences in the models kept low rain chances 
during this period awaiting better model agreement. 

Ware

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  64  40  63  42 /   0   0   0  30 
Hobart OK         64  39  64  41 /   0   0   0  20 
Wichita Falls TX  66  41  65  44 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           63  38  61  37 /   0   0  20  40 
Ponca City OK     61  40  64  41 /   0   0  20  40 
Durant OK         67  41  65  45 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 18, 5:34 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 05:35:06

292 
FLUS44 KOUN 181034
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
534 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181730-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
534 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Thunderstorms will be possible Friday through Sunday. Severe 
weather is not anticipated.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 18, 3:38 AM CDT
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 03:38:49

745 
FXUS64 KOUN 180838
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
338 AM CDT Mon Mar 18 2019

.DISCUSSION...

A weak cold front across northern Oklahoma early this morning 
will lift northward and wash out during the day. It will leave 
behind light winds, abundant sunshine, and mild temperatures. 
Highs will top out in the 60s this afternoon for most of the area.

A fairly compact shortwave trough will dive southeastward across the 
central Plains on Tuesday, dragging a weak front through the area 
Tuesday night. Overall the system will be rather moisture starved 
and forcing will be weak. Therefore, only low PoPs and fairly light 
precipitation totals are forecast Tuesday night into Wednesday 
morning. Temperature will not drop significantly behind the front,
with highs Wednesday generally in the 50s. 

A deeper upper trough will move into the western US on Thursday, 
inducing pressure falls in the lee of the Rockies and returning 
our winds to southerly. Expect high temperatures to rebound into 
the 60s with rain chances also on the increase to our west. Rain 
chances will then increase for our area Friday into Saturday as 
the trough approaches. For now, instability looks fairly limited 
which should temper the severe threat. 

This trough lifts northeastward on Saturday, with models then 
quickly diverging on the upper pattern by Sunday. The ECMWF/EPS show 
another storm system quickly approaching with renewed rain chances, 
while the GFS/GEFS advertise shortwave ridging over our area ahead
of a deeper upper trough digging along the west coast of the US. 
With such large differences in the models kept low rain chances 
during this period awaiting better model agreement. 

Ware

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  64  40  63  42 /   0   0   0  30 
Hobart OK         64  39  64  41 /   0   0   0  20 
Wichita Falls TX  66  41  65  44 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           63  38  61  37 /   0   0  20  40 
Ponca City OK     61  40  64  41 /   0   0  20  40 
Durant OK         67  41  65  45 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/08

WICHITA FALLS Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 35 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 01:28:50

136 
CDUS44 KOUN 180628 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
127 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         66    320 PM  93    1989  67     -1       67       
  MINIMUM         35    659 AM  23    1960  42     -7       41       
  AVERAGE         51                        54     -3       54      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          0.92 1905   0.07  -0.07     0.12    
  MONTH TO DATE    2.57                      1.29   1.28     0.15    
  SINCE MAR 1      2.57                      1.29   1.28     0.15    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.26                      4.18   0.08     3.01    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           1.0  1970   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      3.7                       3.8   -0.1      1.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       14                        11      3       11       
  MONTH TO DATE  345                       226    119      170       
  SINCE MAR 1    345                       226    119      170       
  SINCE JUL 1   2864                      2672    192     2556       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         3     -3        5       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         3     -3        5       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         6     -6       14       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (140)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    15   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (170)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.6                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    82           700 AM                                     
 LOWEST     18           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    50                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   68        95      1974                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   42        21      1965                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   741 AM CDT   SUNSET   744 PM CDT   
MARCH 19 2019.........SUNRISE   739 AM CDT   SUNSET   745 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 67 Low: 32 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Monday March 18, 2019, 01:28:26

406 
CDUS44 KOUN 180628
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
127 AM CDT MON MAR 18 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         67    334 PM  91    1908  64      3       62       
  MINIMUM         32    722 AM  11    1892  41     -9       41       
  AVERAGE         50                        52     -2       52      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          0.85 1905   0.11  -0.11      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    2.09                      1.60   0.49      T      
  SINCE MAR 1      2.09                      1.60   0.49      T      
  SINCE JAN 1      4.63                      4.57   0.06     2.83    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.3  1988   0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    T                         0.7   -0.7      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      T                         0.7   -0.7      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      5.8                       7.4   -1.6      0.4     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       15                        13      2       13       
  MONTH TO DATE  397                       256    141      225       
  SINCE MAR 1    397                       256    141      225       
  SINCE JUL 1   3552                      3006    546     3094       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         1     -1        4       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (240)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    18   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (230)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.4                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    79           800 AM                                     
 LOWEST     24           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    52                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        89      1907                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   42         9      1923                    
                                             1892                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   737 AM CDT   SUNSET   740 PM CDT   
MARCH 19 2019.........SUNRISE   736 AM CDT   SUNSET   741 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 17, 9:57 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 21:58:11

774 
FLUS44 KOUN 180257
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
957 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-190300-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
957 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Saturday. Severe 
weather is not anticipated. 

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 8:58 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 20:58:22

233 
FXUS64 KOUN 180158 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
858 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.UPDATE...
Frontal boundary in N OK will continue to slowly sink south
overnight causing winds to shift to the east and northeast.
Overall the going forecast looks pretty good, just made some minor
adjustments to account for the boundary position.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 838 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

AVIATION...
00Z TAFs

VFR Conditions are expected to continue. A weak cold front will 
move through overnight, which is expected to shift the winds 
briefly to the northwest in central and northern Oklahoma, however
the winds will quickly return to south southeast direction. 
Ceilings are expected to lower, however they will be scattered and
remain in VFR levels.

Zwink

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 356 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
No major changes were made to this mornings forecast. For tonight,
light winds and clear skies should enhance radiational cooling for
one more night, keeping nighttime temperatures slightly cooler
than normal for mid March. However low temperatures for tonight
should stay just above freezing across our area. A stalled cold
front across far northern Oklahoma may keep temperatures just a
few degrees cooler near the Oklahoma/Kansas state line. For Monday
and through the rest of the period, temperatures will be near
normal for both day and night.  

For Tuesday, a shortwave trough digging southward from the central
plains will push a cold front through late in the day. Although 
moisture return is rather weak in a stable atmosphere, forcing by 
the surface boundary may be enough to produce some light rain for 
Wednesday, although keeping POPs low and in the 20s to 30 for now.
The GFS solution produces a stronger trough and pushes through 
much faster than the ECMWF solution, which is weaker and more 
sluggish. For now, will go with the GFS solution with the rain 
exiting our area by late Wednesday afternoon. Not expecting much 
in the way of cool air behind the surface boundary, so 
temperatures should remain seasonable. Moisture will be gradually 
making a return toward the end of the week, as our next weather 
system approaches.

A longwave trough out of the west will be making its way to the
southern plains, as increasing south winds will continue to draw 
up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Warm air advection with the
moisture could start producing light rain for Thursday night with
thunderstorms developing by Friday as the atmosphere begins to
destabilize. Storms will continue through the weekend as the upper
level system begins moving in. For now, both ECMWF and GFS keep
the strongest moisture advection across eastern Texas, so expect
this weekends storms to remain below severe levels at this time. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  37  64  40  61 /   0   0   0  10 
Hobart OK         36  64  38  63 /   0   0   0  20 
Wichita Falls TX  37  66  41  66 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           36  64  38  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Ponca City OK     38  61  40  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Durant OK         40  67  41  63 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 8:38 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 20:39:11

073 
FXUS64 KOUN 180138
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
838 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.AVIATION...
00Z TAFs

VFR Conditions are expected to continue. A weak cold front will 
move through overnight, which is expected to shift the winds 
briefly to the northwest in central and northern Oklahoma, however
the winds will quickly return to south southeast direction. 
Ceilings are expected to lower, however they will be scattered and
remain in VFR levels.

Zwink

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 356 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
No major changes were made to this mornings forecast. For tonight,
light winds and clear skies should enhance radiational cooling for
one more night, keeping nighttime temperatures slightly cooler
than normal for mid March. However low temperatures for tonight
should stay just above freezing across our area. A stalled cold
front across far northern Oklahoma may keep temperatures just a
few degrees cooler near the Oklahoma/Kansas state line. For Monday
and through the rest of the period, temperatures will be near
normal for both day and night.  

For Tuesday, a shortwave trough digging southward from the central
plains will push a cold front through late in the day. Although 
moisture return is rather weak in a stable atmosphere, forcing by 
the surface boundary may be enough to produce some light rain for 
Wednesday, although keeping POPs low and in the 20s to 30 for now.
The GFS solution produces a stronger trough and pushes through 
much faster than the ECMWF solution, which is weaker and more 
sluggish. For now, will go with the GFS solution with the rain 
exiting our area by late Wednesday afternoon. Not expecting much 
in the way of cool air behind the surface boundary, so 
temperatures should remain seasonable. Moisture will be gradually 
making a return toward the end of the week, as our next weather 
system approaches.

A longwave trough out of the west will be making its way to the
southern plains, as increasing south winds will continue to draw 
up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Warm air advection with the
moisture could start producing light rain for Thursday night with
thunderstorms developing by Friday as the atmosphere begins to
destabilize. Storms will continue through the weekend as the upper
level system begins moving in. For now, both ECMWF and GFS keep
the strongest moisture advection across eastern Texas, so expect
this weekends storms to remain below severe levels at this time. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  37  64  40  61 /   0   0   0  10 
Hobart OK         36  64  38  63 /   0   0   0  20 
Wichita Falls TX  37  66  41  66 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           33  64  38  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Ponca City OK     38  61  40  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Durant OK         39  67  41  63 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/25/50

WICHITA FALLS Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 35 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 17:17:38

601 
CDUS44 KOUN 172217 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
517 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         66    320 PM  93    1989  67     -1       67       
  MINIMUM         35    659 AM  23    1960  42     -7       41       
  AVERAGE         51                        54     -3       54      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          0.92 1905   0.07  -0.07     0.12    
  MONTH TO DATE    2.57                      1.29   1.28     0.15    
  SINCE MAR 1      2.57                      1.29   1.28     0.15    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.26                      4.18   0.08     3.01    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           1.0  1970   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      3.7                       3.8   -0.1      1.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY           14                        11      3       11       
  MONTH TO DATE  345                       226    119      170       
  SINCE MAR 1    345                       226    119      170       
  SINCE JUL 1   2864                      2672    192     2556       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         1     -1        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         3     -3        5       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         3     -3        5       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         6     -6       14       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (190)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    15   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (170)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.9                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    82           700 AM                                     
 LOWEST     18           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    50                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   68        95      1974                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   42        21      1965                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   742 AM CDT   SUNSET   743 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   741 AM CDT   SUNSET   744 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Mar 17 Climate Report: High: 67 Low: 32 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 17:17:26

235 
CDUS44 KOUN 172217
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
517 PM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 17 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         67    334 PM  91    1908  64      3       62       
  MINIMUM         32    722 AM  11    1892  41     -9       41       
  AVERAGE         50                        52     -2       52      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          0.85 1905   0.11  -0.11      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    2.09                      1.60   0.49      T      
  SINCE MAR 1      2.09                      1.60   0.49      T      
  SINCE JAN 1      4.63                      4.57   0.06     2.83    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.3  1988   0.1   -0.1      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    T                         0.7   -0.7      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      T                         0.7   -0.7      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      5.8                       7.4   -1.6      0.4     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY           15                        13      2       13       
  MONTH TO DATE  397                       256    141      225       
  SINCE MAR 1    397                       256    141      225       
  SINCE JUL 1   3552                      3006    546     3094       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         1     -1        4       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (240)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    18   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (230)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.2                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    79           800 AM                                     
 LOWEST     24           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    52                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        89      1907                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   42         9      1923                    
                                             1892                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   739 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   737 AM CDT   SUNSET   740 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 3:56 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 15:56:30

529 
FXUS64 KOUN 172056
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
356 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...
No major changes were made to this mornings forecast. For tonight,
light winds and clear skies should enhance radiational cooling for
one more night, keeping nighttime temperatures slightly cooler
than normal for mid March. However low temperatures for tonight
should stay just above freezing across our area. A stalled cold
front across far northern Oklahoma may keep temperatures just a
few degrees cooler near the Oklahoma/Kansas state line. For Monday
and through the rest of the period, temperatures will be near
normal for both day and night.  

For Tuesday, a shortwave trough digging southward from the central
plains will push a cold front through late in the day. Although 
moisture return is rather weak in a stable atmosphere, forcing by 
the surface boundary may be enough to produce some light rain for 
Wednesday, although keeping POPs low and in the 20s to 30 for now.
The GFS solution produces a stronger trough and pushes through 
much faster than the ECMWF solution, which is weaker and more 
sluggish. For now, will go with the GFS solution with the rain 
exiting our area by late Wednesday afternoon. Not expecting much 
in the way of cool air behind the surface boundary, so 
temperatures should remain seasonable. Moisture will be gradually 
making a return toward the end of the week, as our next weather 
system approaches.

A longwave trough out of the west will be making its way to the
southern plains, as increasing south winds will continue to draw 
up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Warm air advection with the
moisture could start producing light rain for Thursday night with
thunderstorms developing by Friday as the atmosphere begins to
destabilize. Storms will continue through the weekend as the upper
level system begins moving in. For now, both ECMWF and GFS keep
the strongest moisture advection across eastern Texas, so expect
this weekends storms to remain below severe levels at this time. 

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  37  64  40  61 /   0   0   0  10 
Hobart OK         36  64  38  63 /   0   0   0  20 
Wichita Falls TX  37  66  41  66 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           33  64  38  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Ponca City OK     38  61  40  61 /   0   0   0  30 
Durant OK         39  67  41  63 /   0   0   0  10 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

26/68

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 12:09 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 12:09:58

579 
FXUS64 KOUN 171709
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1209 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.UPDATE...
Forecast update and 18Z TAFs.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Only minor changes to the forecast this afternoon, although the
forecast max temperatures has been raised slightly.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and relatively light winds are expected. A front
will move into the area from the northeast which will cause a
shift in winds at KOKC, KOUN and KWWR Monday morning, while
locations farther to the southwest will likely remain with south-
southwesterly winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 607 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

AVIATION...
17/12Z TAFs. VFR conditions with light winds expected through the
forecast period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Generally light winds again today with plenty of sunshine. A very 
weak cold front still expected to move into far northern Oklahoma 
today, which will mainly result in a light northerly wind shift and 
slightly cooler temperatures. This front will be reinforced Monday 
as low amplitude wave progresses through eastern U.S. trough. This 
will allow front to backdoor into the eastern-half of Oklahoma. 
Again, this will be mainly noticed by a wind shift to a more 
easterly direction with any significant cooling well north and east 
of our forecast area. 

Yet another and stronger front will affect the region late Tuesday 
and Wednesday, with greater impacts to temperatures and a 
substantial increase in precipitation chances. All models continue 
to be stronger with northerly flow s/wv trough that will pass over 
the region. Overall, rainfall amounts should be on the light side, 
generally less than one-half inch, but will likely be more 
widespread than previously forecast. Any rain that occurs should 
move out of central and southeast Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon. 
While Wednesday will be noticeably cooler, temperatures expected to 
rebound Thursday and Friday ahead of the weekend storm system. 

Outside of increasing the pops late Friday through Saturday,
little in the way of forecast change this cycle, even though ECM 
faster with initation of waa showers/storms Friday. Evolution and
impacts from kicker system late in the weekend and early next 
week still highly uncertain with wide model spread, but will
continue with low pops through Sunday. Forecast data continues to
lack instability, as low level moisture return will be delayed.
Will keep mention of thunderstorms going through the weekend but
organized severe weather still appears unlikely.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  38  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         65  36  64  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  66  37  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           67  34  63  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     67  38  61  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         67  39  66  43 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/99

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 17, 12:01 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 12:02:08

331 
FLUS44 KOUN 171701
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-181715-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1201 PM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Saturday. Severe 
weather is not anticipated. 

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 6:07 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 06:07:54

521 
FXUS64 KOUN 171107 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
607 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.AVIATION...
17/12Z TAFs. VFR conditions with light winds expected through the
forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Generally light winds again today with plenty of sunshine. A very 
weak cold front still expected to move into far northern Oklahoma 
today, which will mainly result in a light northerly wind shift and 
slightly cooler temperatures. This front will be reinforced Monday 
as low amplitude wave progresses through eastern U.S. trough. This 
will allow front to backdoor into the eastern-half of Oklahoma. 
Again, this will be mainly noticed by a wind shift to a more 
easterly direction with any significant cooling well north and east 
of our forecast area. 

Yet another and stronger front will affect the region late Tuesday 
and Wednesday, with greater impacts to temperatures and a 
substantial increase in precipitation chances. All models continue 
to be stronger with northerly flow s/wv trough that will pass over 
the region. Overall, rainfall amounts should be on the light side, 
generally less than one-half inch, but will likely be more 
widespread than previously forecast. Any rain that occurs should 
move out of central and southeast Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon. 
While Wednesday will be noticeably cooler, temperatures expected to 
rebound Thursday and Friday ahead of the weekend storm system. 

Outside of increasing the pops late Friday through Saturday,
little in the way of forecast change this cycle, even though ECM 
faster with initation of waa showers/storms Friday. Evolution and
impacts from kicker system late in the weekend and early next 
week still highly uncertain with wide model spread, but will
continue with low pops through Sunday. Forecast data continues to
lack instability, as low level moisture return will be delayed.
Will keep mention of thunderstorms going through the weekend but
organized severe weather still appears unlikely.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  38  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         65  36  64  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  65  37  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           65  34  63  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     63  38  61  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         65  39  66  43 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/11

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Mar 17, 4:11 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 04:12:08

511 
FLUS44 KOUN 170911
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
411 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171745-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
411 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible Friday and Saturday. Severe 
weather is not anticipated. 

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 17, 3:28 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 03:28:32

930 
FXUS64 KOUN 170828
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
328 AM CDT Sun Mar 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Generally light winds again today with plenty of sunshine. A very 
weak cold front still expected to move into far northern Oklahoma 
today, which will mainly result in a light northerly wind shift and 
slightly cooler temperatures. This front will be reinforced Monday 
as low amplitude wave progresses through eastern U.S. trough. This 
will allow front to backdoor into the eastern-half of Oklahoma. 
Again, this will be mainly noticed by a wind shift to a more 
easterly direction with any significant cooling well north and east 
of our forecast area. 

Yet another and stronger front will affect the region late Tuesday 
and Wednesday, with greater impacts to temperatures and a 
substantial increase in precipitation chances. All models continue 
to be stronger with northerly flow s/wv trough that will pass over 
the region. Overall, rainfall amounts should be on the light side, 
generally less than one-half inch, but will likely be more 
widespread than previously forecast. Any rain that occurs should 
move out of central and southeast Oklahoma Wednesday afternoon. 
While Wednesday will be noticeably cooler, temperatures expected to 
rebound Thursday and Friday ahead of the weekend storm system. 

Outside of increasing the pops late Friday through Saturday,
little in the way of forecast change this cycle, even though ECM 
faster with initation of waa showers/storms Friday. Evolution and
impacts from kicker system late in the weekend and early next 
week still highly uncertain with wide model spread, but will
continue with low pops through Sunday. Forecast data continues to
lack instability, as low level moisture return will be delayed.
Will keep mention of thunderstorms going through the weekend but
organized severe weather still appears unlikely.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  66  38  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         65  36  64  41 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  65  37  64  42 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           65  34  63  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     63  38  61  40 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         65  39  66  43 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

06/11

WICHITA FALLS Mar 16 Climate Report: High: 61 Low: 32 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 01:29:59

401 
CDUS44 KOUN 170629 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
129 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 16 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         61    443 PM  88    2013  67     -6       84       
  MINIMUM         32    609 AM  24    1956  41     -9       54       
  AVERAGE         47                        54     -7       69      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.45 1897   0.07  -0.07      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    2.57                      1.22   1.35     0.03    
  SINCE MAR 1      2.57                      1.22   1.35     0.03    
  SINCE JAN 1      4.26                      4.11   0.15     2.89    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2002   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      0.0                       0.4   -0.4      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      3.7                       3.8   -0.1      1.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       18                        11      7        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  331                       215    116      159       
  SINCE MAR 1    331                       215    116      159       
  SINCE JUL 1   2850                      2661    189     2545       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         1     -1        4       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         2     -2        5       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         2     -2        5       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         5     -5       14       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    12   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (170)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    NE (60)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.5                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    82           700 AM                                     
 LOWEST     27           400 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    55                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   67        93      1989                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   42        23      1960                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   742 AM CDT   SUNSET   743 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   741 AM CDT   SUNSET   744 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Mar 16 Climate Report: High: 61 Low: 28 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday March 17, 2019, 01:29:33

496 
CDUS44 KOUN 170629
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
129 AM CDT SUN MAR 17 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR MARCH 16 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         61    338 PM  84    1908  64     -3       77       
  MINIMUM         28    625 AM  18    1895  41    -13       53       
  AVERAGE         45                        52     -7       65      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          1.71 1998   0.11  -0.11      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    2.09                      1.49   0.60      T      
  SINCE MAR 1      2.09                      1.49   0.60      T      
  SINCE JAN 1      4.63                      4.46   0.17     2.83    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.6  1970   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    T                         0.6   -0.6      0.0     
  SINCE MAR 1      T                         0.6   -0.6      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      5.8                       7.3   -1.5      0.4     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       20                        13      7        0       
  MONTH TO DATE  382                       243    139      212       
  SINCE MAR 1    382                       243    139      212       
  SINCE JUL 1   3537                      2993    544     3081       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE MAR 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JAN 1      0                         1     -1        4       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED     9   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     N (20)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    13   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     N (10)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.2                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    78           300 AM                                     
 LOWEST     24           400 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    51                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        91      1908                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   41        11      1892                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
MARCH 17 2019.........SUNRISE   739 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   
MARCH 18 2019.........SUNRISE   737 AM CDT   SUNSET   740 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 16, 8:40 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday March 16, 2019, 20:40:38

157 
FXUS64 KOUN 170140 AAA
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
840 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2019

.UPDATE...
High clouds will continue across portions of the fa this evening.
Temperatures are expected to fall into the 30s by tomorrow
morning. Overall, going forecast looks good so no major changes 
to the forecast.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 541 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2019/ 

AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected to persist throughout the forecast
period. Southerly winds at around 10 knots are expected at the
surface, with scattered to broken high ceilings. 

Zwink

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 310 PM CDT Sat Mar 16 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Through Monday, west to northwest flow across the Central 
Plains/Midwest will oscillate a backdoor cold front across north 
central Oklahoma. The cold front could be reinforced far enough 
south to bring slightly cooler weather across for north central 
Oklahoma on Monday (50s F). Otherwise, seasonable (near average) 
temperatures are expected with highs in the low to mid 60s F.

By late Tuesday into Wednesday, a shortwave trough across the 
central Plains is forecast to dig southeastward toward the 
southeast U.S. The associated cold front will pass by with a 
chance of showers. Forecast soundings indicate no appreciable 
instability, so will continue to mention showers with no thunder. 
Showers may continue into Wednesday with a slow frontal passage. 
Slightly cooler weather is expected in the front's wake for 
Wednesday (especially with additional cloud cover expected). 

By Friday, a trough is forecast to eject into the Plains. The 
16/12Z ECMWF and FV3 GFS continue to be slower than the 
operational GFS. Continued to base the forecast toward the slower 
solutions--especially since the GEFS mean is also slower than the
operational GFS. For this system, thunderstorms will be possible 
with elevated instability. Currently, it appears low instability 
will mitigate the risk for organized severe weather (though some 
stronger storms can't be ruled out with progged steep mid-level
lapse rates).

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  36  64  38  63 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         35  63  36  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  37  64  38  64 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           34  65  36  62 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     35  62  38  58 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         37  63  42  65 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/30