Air Quality Alert AIR QUALITY ALERT - Denton

GTXWXBot[TX]:

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 11:34 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 23:34:41

946 
FXUS64 KFWD 160434
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1134 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.AVIATION...
/6Z TAFS/

No significant aviation concerns are expected through Monday with
a continued light easterly wind and scattered afternoon cumulus. 
While we can't totally rule out a very isolated shower through 
Monday evening somewhere in North/Central TX, coverage is expected
to be too low to mention in any TAF.

Dunn

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Rest of Today through Monday/

The upper level ridge will continue to dominate the region,
suppressing rain chances today and tonight. A disturbance
continues to slowly wander in the western Gulf of Mexico, but may
creep closer to the South Texas Coast on Monday.

For this afternoon, I increased afternoon highs a few degrees
across mainly the southeastern portions of the region. DFW and
Waco will both make a run at their daily record high temperatures
for today. At both sites, the daily record is 100 degrees today. 
Otherwise, a few cumulus clouds may present themselves and rain- 
free conditions will prevail. Overnight lows will remain very 
similar to the past few mornings with values largely in the upper 
60s to mid 70s; but expect upper 70s in the DFW urbanized areas.

On Monday, another hot day is expected with highs in the mid 90s
to around 100 degrees. Record highs for Monday are 102 degrees for
DFW and 101 degrees for Waco. Waco may come close to its daily 
record but DFW may fall just shy. A few showers or storms may move
into the southern portions of Central Texas in the late afternoon
hours.

JLDunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 243 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Monday Night through Next Weekend/

Above normal warmth is expected through the early week.
Fortunately around and after mid-week, there are some chances for
rain/storms and thus cooler---but near normal---conditions. While
the forecast calls for the best rain chances towards mid-week, 
not all locations will see rain/storms.

Monday Night into Tuesday should feature largely tranquil
conditions across most of the area as a low across the Gulf of 
Mexico moves westward towards the Corpus Christi area. There is a
weak reflection of this feature at low-levels and the wind field 
attains a slightly more east-northeasterly component along the 
upper Texas Coast during this time. What this means is that low 
level moisture trajectories may not be overly favorable for 
measurable rainfall through at least the first half of the day on 
Tuesday. As such, I'll maintain a mostly dry forecast for a large 
chunk of North and Central Texas through that time period. The 
exception to this will be across parts of the Brazos Valley, 
where a few showers or thunderstorms may drift northward away from
the South Texas upper low. There will be a risk for a gusty wind 
threat associated with thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon across 
Central Texas given the well mixed PBL and hot conditions (air 
temperatures in the mid to upper 90s). 

The mid-week time frame (Wednesday and Thursday) will feature the
best rain chances, though there is still some spread among the 
model guidance. The latest GFS and most of its ensembles continue 
to hint at the idea that the low will remain confined to South 
Texas with a few vestiges of this feature meandering northward 
toward Central Texas. The Canadian and most consistently the 
ECMWF, indicate that the South Texas low will become enveloped 
into the broad southwest flow aloft and lift northward into the
North and Central Texas. I'll hedge towards the latter solutions 
as they are in step with the previous forecast and have exhibited 
slightly greater run-to- run consistency. This necessitates higher
PoPs down across Central Texas and across the Brazos Valley on 
Wednesday and Thursday. However, it should be noted that there is 
1) still some uncertainty this far out and 2), not all locations 
are guaranteed rainfall. What does appear most probable is that a 
good part of the area will see cooler conditions as widespread 
mid/upper level cloudiness will result in partly sunny to cloudy 
skies. I've trended highs down a little lower from the previous 
forecast on Wednesday (highs in the low to mid 90s) and Thursday 
(highs in the mid 80s to low 90s).

Near normal highs are possible on Friday...especially across the
western third of the area (Big Country region) where lift and
associated moisture with our northward moving low remain. 
Confidence in exact locations that will see rain are a little 
uncertain, so PoPs remain broad-brushed for now (highest 
rain/storm chances west of I-35). Next weekend, confidence is 
modestly high in mainly dry conditions as the upper ridge attempts
to re-insert itself back into the weather picture. The flow 
across the High Plains does become a bit more meridional and so 
there's a chance that this may stunt the ridge's expansion 
northward. If so, it's possible that we may see temperatures 
remain closer to or possibly below normal. 

Bain


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  99  76  97  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Waco                72 100  74  96  73 /   5   5   5  20   5 
Paris               72  96  73  97  73 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Denton              71  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
McKinney            73  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
Dallas              80 100  77  98  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Terrell             74 100  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Corsicana           72  98  74  98  73 /   5   5   5  10   5 
Temple              72  98  73  95  73 /   5   5   5  20  10 
Mineral Wells       70  96  71  96  71 /   5   0   0   5   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

91

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 6:02 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 18:02:45

133 
FXUS64 KFWD 152302
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
602 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019


.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFs/

Concerns: None; VFR with east winds prevailing.

VFR will prevail as upper level ridging continues to dominate the
region. A surface high centered to our northeast will keep the
winds out of the east-southeast with speeds around 05 kts
overnight, then around 10 kts with occasional gusts up to 15 kts
in the afternoon. A few-sct Cu field is expected to develop after
18Z with bases between 060-080. There is a small chance of a
shower or thunderstorm developing across the southeastern portions
of the forecast area, however confidence of any precip reaching
the KACT terminal is too low to include in the TAF ATTM.

Bonnette

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Rest of Today through Monday/

The upper level ridge will continue to dominate the region,
suppressing rain chances today and tonight. A disturbance
continues to slowly wander in the western Gulf of Mexico, but may
creep closer to the South Texas Coast on Monday.

For this afternoon, I increased afternoon highs a few degrees
across mainly the southeastern portions of the region. DFW and
Waco will both make a run at their daily record high temperatures
for today. At both sites, the daily record is 100 degrees today. 
Otherwise, a few cumulus clouds may present themselves and rain- 
free conditions will prevail. Overnight lows will remain very 
similar to the past few mornings with values largely in the upper 
60s to mid 70s; but expect upper 70s in the DFW urbanized areas.

On Monday, another hot day is expected with highs in the mid 90s
to around 100 degrees. Record highs for Monday are 102 degrees for
DFW and 101 degrees for Waco. Waco may come close to its daily 
record but DFW may fall just shy. A few showers or storms may move
into the southern portions of Central Texas in the late afternoon
hours.

JLDunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 243 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Monday Night through Next Weekend/

Above normal warmth is expected through the early week.
Fortunately around and after mid-week, there are some chances for
rain/storms and thus cooler---but near normal---conditions. While
the forecast calls for the best rain chances towards mid-week, 
not all locations will see rain/storms.

Monday Night into Tuesday should feature largely tranquil
conditions across most of the area as a low across the Gulf of 
Mexico moves westward towards the Corpus Christi area. There is a
weak reflection of this feature at low-levels and the wind field 
attains a slightly more east-northeasterly component along the 
upper Texas Coast during this time. What this means is that low 
level moisture trajectories may not be overly favorable for 
measurable rainfall through at least the first half of the day on 
Tuesday. As such, I'll maintain a mostly dry forecast for a large 
chunk of North and Central Texas through that time period. The 
exception to this will be across parts of the Brazos Valley, 
where a few showers or thunderstorms may drift northward away from
the South Texas upper low. There will be a risk for a gusty wind 
threat associated with thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon across 
Central Texas given the well mixed PBL and hot conditions (air 
temperatures in the mid to upper 90s). 

The mid-week time frame (Wednesday and Thursday) will feature the
best rain chances, though there is still some spread among the 
model guidance. The latest GFS and most of its ensembles continue 
to hint at the idea that the low will remain confined to South 
Texas with a few vestiges of this feature meandering northward 
toward Central Texas. The Canadian and most consistently the 
ECMWF, indicate that the South Texas low will become enveloped 
into the broad southwest flow aloft and lift northward into the
North and Central Texas. I'll hedge towards the latter solutions 
as they are in step with the previous forecast and have exhibited 
slightly greater run-to- run consistency. This necessitates higher
PoPs down across Central Texas and across the Brazos Valley on 
Wednesday and Thursday. However, it should be noted that there is 
1) still some uncertainty this far out and 2), not all locations 
are guaranteed rainfall. What does appear most probable is that a 
good part of the area will see cooler conditions as widespread 
mid/upper level cloudiness will result in partly sunny to cloudy 
skies. I've trended highs down a little lower from the previous 
forecast on Wednesday (highs in the low to mid 90s) and Thursday 
(highs in the mid 80s to low 90s).

Near normal highs are possible on Friday...especially across the
western third of the area (Big Country region) where lift and
associated moisture with our northward moving low remain. 
Confidence in exact locations that will see rain are a little 
uncertain, so PoPs remain broad-brushed for now (highest 
rain/storm chances west of I-35). Next weekend, confidence is 
modestly high in mainly dry conditions as the upper ridge attempts
to re-insert itself back into the weather picture. The flow 
across the High Plains does become a bit more meridional and so 
there's a chance that this may stunt the ridge's expansion 
northward. If so, it's possible that we may see temperatures 
remain closer to or possibly below normal. 

Bain


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  99  76  97  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Waco                72 100  74  96  73 /   5   5   5  20   5 
Paris               72  96  73  97  73 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Denton              71  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
McKinney            73  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
Dallas              80 100  77  98  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Terrell             74 100  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Corsicana           72  98  74  98  73 /   5   5   5  10   5 
Temple              72  98  73  95  73 /   5   5   5  20  10 
Mineral Wells       70  96  71  96  71 /   5   0   0   5   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

06/91

DALLAS FORT WORTH Sep 15 Climate Report: High: 98 Low: 76 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 16:36:41

334 
CDUS44 KFWD 152136
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
436 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 15 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         98    242 PM 100    1980  89      9       91       
                                      1965                          
  MINIMUM         76    648 AM  51    1993  68      8       72       
  AVERAGE         87                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          1.05 1955   0.09  -0.09      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.00                      1.40  -1.40     3.15    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.00                      1.40  -1.40     3.15    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.13                     25.51   1.62    25.36    
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    NE (40)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    17   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (80)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.1                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88       102      1900                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   67        50      1903                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   733 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

WACO Sep 15 Climate Report: High: 99 Low: 69 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 16:36:41

331 
CDUS44 KFWD 152136
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
436 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 15 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         99    232 PM 100    1911  90      9       93       
  MINIMUM         69    628 AM  49    1989  67      2       72       
  AVERAGE         84                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          1.80 1967   0.10  -0.10      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    0.17                      1.52  -1.35     4.43    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.17                      1.52  -1.35     4.43    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.66                     23.68   3.98    14.04    
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    13   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (110)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    18   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     E (90)       
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     2.8                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   90       101      1980                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   66        51      1993                    
                                             1989                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   734 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 15, 2:44 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 14:44:27

111 
FLUS44 KFWD 151944 AAA
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
244 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-161215-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
244 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight. 
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances will increase each day from Monday through mid-
week across Central Texas, then areawide for the latter half of the 
week. The majority of this activity will occur in the afternoon and 
early evening hours.

Severe weather is not expected, however, gusty winds and localized 
heavy rainfall may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 2:43 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 14:43:13

093 
FXUS64 KFWD 151943 AAA
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
243 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019



.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Rest of Today through Monday/

The upper level ridge will continue to dominate the region,
suppressing rain chances today and tonight. A disturbance
continues to slowly wander in the western Gulf of Mexico, but may
creep closer to the South Texas Coast on Monday.

For this afternoon, I increased afternoon highs a few degrees
across mainly the southeastern portions of the region. DFW and
Waco will both make a run at their daily record high temperatures
for today. At both sites, the daily record is 100 degrees today. 
Otherwise, a few cumulus clouds may present themselves and rain- 
free conditions will prevail. Overnight lows will remain very 
similar to the past few mornings with values largely in the upper 
60s to mid 70s; but expect upper 70s in the DFW urbanized areas.

On Monday, another hot day is expected with highs in the mid 90s
to around 100 degrees. Record highs for Monday are 102 degrees for
DFW and 101 degrees for Waco. Waco may come close to its daily 
record but DFW may fall just shy. A few showers or storms may move
into the southern portions of Central Texas in the late afternoon
hours.

JLDunn

&&


.LONG TERM...
/Monday Night through Next Weekend/

Above normal warmth is expected through the early week.
Fortunately around and after mid-week, there are some chances for
rain/storms and thus cooler---but near normal---conditions. While
the forecast calls for the best rain chances towards mid-week, 
not all locations will see rain/storms.

Monday Night into Tuesday should feature largely tranquil
conditions across most of the area as a low across the Gulf of 
Mexico moves westward towards the Corpus Christi area. There is a
weak reflection of this feature at low-levels and the wind field 
attains a slightly more east-northeasterly component along the 
upper Texas Coast during this time. What this means is that low 
level moisture trajectories may not be overly favorable for 
measurable rainfall through at least the first half of the day on 
Tuesday. As such, I'll maintain a mostly dry forecast for a large 
chunk of North and Central Texas through that time period. The 
exception to this will be across parts of the Brazos Valley, 
where a few showers or thunderstorms may drift northward away from
the South Texas upper low. There will be a risk for a gusty wind 
threat associated with thunderstorms on Tuesday afternoon across 
Central Texas given the well mixed PBL and hot conditions (air 
temperatures in the mid to upper 90s). 

The mid-week time frame (Wednesday and Thursday) will feature the
best rain chances, though there is still some spread among the 
model guidance. The latest GFS and most of its ensembles continue 
to hint at the idea that the low will remain confined to South 
Texas with a few vestiges of this feature meandering northward 
toward Central Texas. The Canadian and most consistently the 
ECMWF, indicate that the South Texas low will become enveloped 
into the broad southwest flow aloft and lift northward into the
North and Central Texas. I'll hedge towards the latter solutions 
as they are in step with the previous forecast and have exhibited 
slightly greater run-to- run consistency. This necessitates higher
PoPs down across Central Texas and across the Brazos Valley on 
Wednesday and Thursday. However, it should be noted that there is 
1) still some uncertainty this far out and 2), not all locations 
are guaranteed rainfall. What does appear most probable is that a 
good part of the area will see cooler conditions as widespread 
mid/upper level cloudiness will result in partly sunny to cloudy 
skies. I've trended highs down a little lower from the previous 
forecast on Wednesday (highs in the low to mid 90s) and Thursday 
(highs in the mid 80s to low 90s).

Near normal highs are possible on Friday...especially across the
western third of the area (Big Country region) where lift and
associated moisture with our northward moving low remain. 
Confidence in exact locations that will see rain are a little 
uncertain, so PoPs remain broad-brushed for now (highest 
rain/storm chances west of I-35). Next weekend, confidence is 
modestly high in mainly dry conditions as the upper ridge attempts
to re-insert itself back into the weather picture. The flow 
across the High Plains does become a bit more meridional and so 
there's a chance that this may stunt the ridge's expansion 
northward. If so, it's possible that we may see temperatures 
remain closer to or possibly below normal. 

Bain

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/18Z TAFs/

Concerns: None. VFR conditions

VFR conditions will prevail as upper level ridging continues to
dominate the region. With a surface high centered to our 
northeast, we will maintain light east-southeast to southeast 
winds at speeds generally less than 8 kts. A few afternoon cumulus
clouds with bases between 6-8 kft may appear this afternoon, but
are more likely on Monday.

JLDunn

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  99  76  97  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Waco                72 100  74  96  73 /   5   5   5  20   5 
Paris               72  96  73  97  73 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Denton              71  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
McKinney            73  98  74  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   0 
Dallas              80 100  77  98  76 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Terrell             74 100  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   5   5 
Corsicana           72  98  74  98  73 /   5   5   5  10   5 
Temple              72  98  73  95  73 /   5   5   5  20  10 
Mineral Wells       70  96  71  96  71 /   5   0   0   5   0 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

24/82

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 12:32 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 12:32:40

687 
FXUS64 KFWD 151732
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1232 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.SHORT TERM...
/Rest of Today through Monday/

The upper level ridge will continue to dominate the region,
suppressing rain chances today and tonight. A disturbance
continues to slowly wander in the western Gulf of Mexico, but may
creep closer to the South Texas Coast on Monday.

For this afternoon, I increased afternoon highs a few degrees
across mainly the southeastern portions of the region. DFW and
Waco will both make a run at their daily record high temperatures
for today. At both sites, the daily record is 100 degrees today. 
Otherwise, a few cumulus clouds may present themselves and rain- 
free conditions will prevail. Overnight lows will remain very 
similar to the past few mornings with values largely in the upper 
60s to mid 70s; but expect upper 70s in the DFW urbanized areas.

On Monday, another hot day is expected with highs in the mid 90s
to around 100 degrees. Record highs for Monday are 102 degrees for
DFW and 101 degrees for Waco. Waco may come close to its daily 
record but DFW may fall just shy. A few showers or storms may move
into the southern portions of Central Texas in the late afternoon
hours.

JLDunn

&&

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFs/

Concerns: None. VFR conditions

VFR conditions will prevail as upper level ridging continues to
dominate the region. With a surface high centered to our 
northeast, we will maintain light east-southeast to southeast 
winds at speeds generally less than 8 kts. A few afternoon cumulus
clouds with bases between 6-8 kft may appear this afternoon, but
are more likely on Monday.

JLDunn

&&


.LONG TERM... /Issued 239 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Monday onward/

Above normal temperatures look to continue for the foreseeable
future as upper-level ridging persists. The one piece of good news
is that it does look like rain chances should increase a bit this
week. Still, these rains will not be heavy nor widespread enough
to put a meaningful dent in drought conditions.

The week will start out with upper-level ridging. A trough will 
dig into the West Coast early in the week, but this longwave 
trough will pass well north of our region, keeping any cooler air 
and synoptic-scale ascent in the Northern and Central Great 
Plains. As this trough moves through the Rockies and into the 
Great Plains, lee cyclogenesis should result in enhanced southerly
flow across our region. The resultant surge in Gulf moisture, 
along with the ridge relaxing ever so slightly, will bring 
increased rain chances, especially across Central Texas. Weak wind
shear and the lack of any significant surface boundaries will 
keep the severe weather potential at a minimum, but some of the 
stronger thunderstorms could produce gusty winds in excess of 40 
mph, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and brief heavy
downpours. Thunderstorm activity will be diurnally-driven, 
meaning the chances will peak during the late afternoon and early 
evening hours, and rapidly diminish after sunset.

The highest rain chances will come on Wednesday. Models have been
targeting Wednesday for the past several runs, and confidence is
probably high enough at this point to include some Likely PoPs
(60%) in our far southern counties, with chance PoPs (30%-50%) all
the way up to Interstate 20. Even on this day however, not
everyone will see rain.

Slight chance to chance PoPs will continue through the end of the
forecast period as the weather pattern for our region remains
largely unchanged through next weekend. Despite the Fall Equinox
being in just over a week, it will continue to feel more like late
summer for the foreseeable future.

37

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    99  78  99  76  94 /   5   5   0   0  10 
Waco                99  72 100  74  94 /   5   5   5   5  20 
Paris               95  72  96  73  93 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Denton              98  71  98  74  94 /   5   5   0   0   5 
McKinney            97  73  98  74  94 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Dallas              99  80 100  77  95 /   5   5   0   0  10 
Terrell             98  74 100  74  95 /   5   5   0   0  10 
Corsicana           98  72  98  73  92 /   5   5   5   5  10 
Temple              98  72  98  73  92 /   5   5   5  10  30 
Mineral Wells       97  70  96  71  92 /   5   5   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

82/24

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 6:44 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 06:44:20

003 
FXUS64 KFWD 151144
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
644 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019


.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFs/

Concerns and challenges. None. VFR with a few-sct CU FL060-080 and
some spotty cirrus on the periphery of the upper ridge centered
just NE of the airports. 

Surface high pressure will continue to wedge into the area from
the northeast. E/SE winds 4-7 knots will continue to be the rule 
across the region. S flow for arrivals/departures to continue at 
DFW Int'l next 24-30 hrs.


05/

&&


.SHORT TERM... /Issued 239 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/The Remainder Of The Weekend/

The main theme today will be the heat with high temperatures 
expected to be a good 10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will 
be threatening record values for September 15th at both Waco(100F 
in 1911) and DFW International Airport(100F in 1965 and the 
infamously hot late Summer of 1980). 

A strong 592 decameter upper ridge will continue its hold across 
North and Central Texas similar to Saturday, where many sites 
across East TX and eastern Central TX surged near the century mark
for their afternoon high temperatures. I see little change today 
as we remain sandwiched between persistent and slow-moving mid 
level disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico and a broad longwave 
upper trough over the Western CONUS. I have leaned toward warmer 
guidance numbers today with highs near the century mark for areas 
generally along/east of the I-35 corridor -- where the slightly 
higher mid level heights and stronger subsidence are anticipated. 
I would not be surprised to see one or both of Waco and DFW at 
least tie these old record high temperatures this afternoon. If 
there was to be one saving grace...it would be the deep mixing 
through 800-850mb that will get surface dew point temperatures 
into the upper 50s and lower 60s many areas. This will keep heat 
index values at or even slightly below the actual ambient high 
temperatures. The light east winds 10 mph or less will provide 
little relief from the heat, so today might not be a bad day to 
remain indoors to watch a movie or one's favorite pro football 
team during peak heating hours this afternoon. 

Thanks to the hot afternoon conditions, tonight will be a little 
warmer and a little on the humid side, despite mostly clear skies 
overhead. Lows 70-75 will be common across rural areas, while 
urban heat island areas will likely be in the 77 to 80 degree 
category with light east-southeast winds around 5 mph. 

05/

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 239 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/
/Monday onward/

Above normal temperatures look to continue for the foreseeable
future as upper-level ridging persists. The one piece of good news
is that it does look like rain chances should increase a bit this
week. Still, these rains will not be heavy nor widespread enough
to put a meaningful dent in drought conditions.

The week will start out with upper-level ridging. A trough will 
dig into the West Coast early in the week, but this longwave 
trough will pass well north of our region, keeping any cooler air 
and synoptic-scale ascent in the Northern and Central Great 
Plains. As this trough moves through the Rockies and into the 
Great Plains, lee cyclogenesis should result in enhanced southerly
flow across our region. The resultant surge in Gulf moisture, 
along with the ridge relaxing ever so slightly, will bring 
increased rain chances, especially across Central Texas. Weak wind
shear and the lack of any significant surface boundaries will 
keep the severe weather potential at a minimum, but some of the 
stronger thunderstorms could produce gusty winds in excess of 40 
mph, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and brief heavy
downpours. Thunderstorm activity will be diurnally-driven, 
meaning the chances will peak during the late afternoon and early 
evening hours, and rapidly diminish after sunset.

The highest rain chances will come on Wednesday. Models have been
targeting Wednesday for the past several runs, and confidence is
probably high enough at this point to include some Likely PoPs
(60%) in our far southern counties, with chance PoPs (30%-50%) all
the way up to Interstate 20. Even on this day however, not
everyone will see rain.

Slight chance to chance PoPs will continue through the end of the
forecast period as the weather pattern for our region remains
largely unchanged through next weekend. Despite the Fall Equinox
being in just over a week, it will continue to feel more like late
summer for the foreseeable future.

37

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    99  77  96  76  94 /   0   5   0   0  10 
Waco                99  75  97  74  94 /   0   0   5   5  20 
Paris               95  73  94  73  93 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Denton              98  74  95  74  94 /   0   0   5   0   5 
McKinney            97  75  95  74  94 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              99  78  97  77  95 /   5   0   0   0  10 
Terrell             98  75  97  74  95 /  10   5   0   0  10 
Corsicana           98  73  95  73  92 /  10   5   5   5  10 
Temple              98  74  95  73  92 /   0   0  10  10  30 
Mineral Wells       97  71  93  71  92 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

05/37

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 2:39 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 02:39:50

523 
FXUS64 KFWD 150739 CCA
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
239 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019


.SHORT TERM...
/The Remainder Of The Weekend/

The main theme today will be the heat with high temperatures 
expected to be a good 10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will 
be threatening record values for September 15th at both Waco(100F 
in 1911) and DFW International Airport(100F in 1965 and the 
infamously hot late Summer of 1980). 

A strong 592 decameter upper ridge will continue its hold across 
North and Central Texas similar to Saturday, where many sites 
across East TX and eastern Central TX surged near the century mark
for their afternoon high temperatures. I see little change today 
as we remain sandwiched between persistent and slow-moving mid 
level disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico and a broad longwave 
upper trough over the Western CONUS. I have leaned toward warmer 
guidance numbers today with highs near the century mark for areas 
generally along/east of the I-35 corridor -- where the slightly 
higher mid level heights and stronger subsidence are anticipated. 
I would not be surprised to see one or both of Waco and DFW at 
least tie these old record high temperatures this afternoon. If 
there was to be one saving grace...it would be the deep mixing 
through 800-850mb that will get surface dew point temperatures 
into the upper 50s and lower 60s many areas. This will keep heat 
index values at or even slightly below the actual ambient high 
temperatures. The light east winds 10 mph or less will provide 
little relief from the heat, so today might not be a bad day to 
remain indoors to watch a movie or one's favorite pro football 
team during peak heating hours this afternoon. 

Thanks to the hot afternoon conditions, tonight will be a little 
warmer and a little on the humid side, despite mostly clear skies 
overhead. Lows 70-75 will be common across rural areas, while 
urban heat island areas will likely be in the 77 to 80 degree 
category with light east-southeast winds around 5 mph. 

05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Monday onward/

Above normal temperatures look to continue for the foreseeable
future as upper-level ridging persists. The one piece of good news
is that it does look like rain chances should increase a bit this
week. Still, these rains will not be heavy nor widespread enough
to put a meaningful dent in drought conditions.

The week will start out with upper-level ridging. A trough will 
dig into the West Coast early in the week, but this longwave 
trough will pass well north of our region, keeping any cooler air 
and synoptic-scale ascent in the Northern and Central Great 
Plains. As this trough moves through the Rockies and into the 
Great Plains, lee cyclogenesis should result in enhanced southerly
flow across our region. The resultant surge in Gulf moisture, 
along with the ridge relaxing ever so slightly, will bring 
increased rain chances, especially across Central Texas. Weak wind
shear and the lack of any significant surface boundaries will 
keep the severe weather potential at a minimum, but some of the 
stronger thunderstorms could produce gusty winds in excess of 40 
mph, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and brief heavy
downpours. Thunderstorm activity will be diurnally-driven, 
meaning the chances will peak during the late afternoon and early 
evening hours, and rapidly diminish after sunset.

The highest rain chances will come on Wednesday. Models have been
targeting Wednesday for the past several runs, and confidence is
probably high enough at this point to include some Likely PoPs
(60%) in our far southern counties, with chance PoPs (30%-50%) all
the way up to Interstate 20. Even on this day however, not
everyone will see rain.

Slight chance to chance PoPs will continue through the end of the
forecast period as the weather pattern for our region remains
largely unchanged through next weekend. Despite the Fall Equinox
being in just over a week, it will continue to feel more like late
summer for the foreseeable future.

37

&&


.AVIATION... /Issued 1142 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/6Z TAFS/

No significant aviation concerns are expected through the period
with light easterly winds continuing. Any afternoon scattered
showers or storms should be well to the south of the major
airports.  VFR should prevail through the period.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    99  77  96  76  94 /   0   5   0   0  10 
Waco                99  75  97  74  94 /   0   0   5   5  20 
Paris               95  73  94  73  93 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Denton              98  74  95  74  94 /   0   0   5   0   5 
McKinney            97  75  95  74  94 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              99  78  97  77  95 /   5   0   0   0  10 
Terrell             98  75  97  74  95 /  10   5   0   0  10 
Corsicana           98  73  95  73  92 /  10   5   5   5  10 
Temple              98  74  95  73  92 /   0   0  10  10  30 
Mineral Wells       97  71  93  71  92 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

37/05

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 15, 2:35 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 02:35:45

963 
FLUS44 KFWD 150735
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
235 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-160745-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
235 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances will increase each day from Monday through mid-week
across Central Texas with low chances areawide for the latter half 
of the week. The majority of this activity will occur in the 
afternoon and early evening hours. 

Severe weather is not expected, however hot temperatures may result 
in a strong storm or two with gusty downburst winds. Localized heavy 
downpours will also occur with slow-moving thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 2:28 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 02:28:45

143 
FXUS64 KFWD 150728
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019


.SHORT TERM...
/The Remainder Of The Weekend/

The main theme today will be the heat with high temperatures 
expected to be a good 10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will 
be threatening record values for September 15th at both Waco(100F 
in 1911) and DFW International Airport(100F in 1965 and the 
infamously hot late Summer of 1980). 

A strong 592 decameter upper ridge will continue its hold across 
North and Central Texas similar to Saturday, where many sites 
across East TX and eastern Central TX surged near the century mark
for their afternoon high temperatures. I see little change today 
as we remain sandwiched between persistent and slow-moving mid 
level disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico and a broad longwave 
upper trough over the Western CONUS. I have leaned toward warmer 
guidance numbers today with highs near the century mark for areas 
generally along/east of the I-35 corridor -- where the slightly 
higher mid level heights and stronger subsidence are anticipated. 
I would not be surprised to see one or both of Waco and DFW at 
least tie these old record high temperatures this afternoon. If 
there was to be one saving grace...it would be the deep mixing 
through 800-850mb that will get surface dew point temperatures 
into the upper 50s and lower 60s many area. This will keep heat 
index values at or even slightly below the actual ambient high 
temperatures. The light east winds 10 mph or less will provide 
little relief from the heat, so today might not be a bad day to 
remain indoors to watch a movie or one's favorite pro football 
team during peak heating hours this afternoon. 

Thanks to the hot afternoon conditions, tonight will be a little 
warmer and a little on the humid side, despite mostly clear skies 
overhead. Lows 70-75 will be common across rural areas, while 
urban heat island areas will likely be in the 77 to 80 degree 
category with light east-southeast winds around 5 mph. 

05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Monday onward/

Above normal temperatures look to continue for the foreseeable
future as upper-level ridging persists. The one piece of good news
is that it does look like rain chances should increase a bit this
week. Still, these rains will not be heavy nor widespread enough
to put a meaningful dent in drought conditions.

The week will start out with upper-level ridging. A trough will 
dig into the West Coast early in the week, but this longwave 
trough will pass well north of our region, keeping any cooler air 
and synoptic-scale ascent in the Northern and Central Great 
Plains. As this trough moves through the Rockies and into the 
Great Plains, lee cyclogenesis should result in enhanced southerly
flow across our region. The resultant surge in Gulf moisture, 
along with the ridge relaxing ever so slightly, will bring 
increased rain chances, especially across Central Texas. Weak wind
shear and the lack of any significant surface boundaries will 
keep the severe weather potential at a minimum, but some of the 
stronger thunderstorms could produce gusty winds in excess of 40 
mph, occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and brief heavy
downpours. Thunderstorm activity will be diurnally-driven, 
meaning the chances will peak during the late afternoon and early 
evening hours, and rapidly diminish after sunset.

The highest rain chances will come on Wednesday. Models have been
targeting Wednesday for the past several runs, and confidence is
probably high enough at this point to include some Likely PoPs
(60%) in our far southern counties, with chance PoPs (30%-50%) all
the way up to Interstate 20. Even on this day however, not
everyone will see rain.

Slight chance to chance PoPs will continue through the end of the
forecast period as the weather pattern for our region remains
largely unchanged through next weekend. Despite the Fall Equinox
being in just over a week, it will continue to feel more like late
summer for the foreseeable future.

37

&&


.AVIATION... /Issued 1142 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/6Z TAFS/

No significant aviation concerns are expected through the period
with light easterly winds continuing. Any afternoon scattered
showers or storms should be well to the south of the major
airports.  VFR should prevail through the period.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    99  77  96  76  94 /   0   5   0   0  10 
Waco                99  75  97  74  94 /   0   0   5   5  20 
Paris               95  73  94  73  93 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Denton              98  74  95  74  94 /   0   0   5   0   5 
McKinney            97  75  95  74  94 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Dallas              99  78  97  77  95 /   5   0   0   0  10 
Terrell             98  75  97  74  95 /  10   5   0   0  10 
Corsicana           98  73  95  73  92 /  10   5   5   5  10 
Temple              98  74  95  73  92 /   0   0  10  10  30 
Mineral Wells       97  71  93  71  92 /   0   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

37/05

DALLAS FORT WORTH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 98 Low: 75 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 02:05:50

209 
CDUS44 KFWD 150705
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
205 AM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         98    252 PM 102    1953  89      9       86       
  MINIMUM         75    612 AM  48    1902  68      7       71       
  AVERAGE         87                        79      8       79      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.39 1934   0.09  -0.09     0.45    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.00                      1.31  -1.31     3.15    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.00                      1.31  -1.31     3.15    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.13                     25.42   1.71    25.36    
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       22                        14      8       14       
  MONTH TO DATE  297                       222     75      207       
  SINCE SEP 1    297                       222     75      207       
  SINCE JAN 1   2499                      2404     95     2806       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    13   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (120)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (140)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     4.9                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    74           400 AM                                     
 LOWEST     30           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    52                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   89       100      1980                    
                                             1965                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   68        51      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   733 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$


WACO Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 99 Low: 72 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 02:05:50

208 
CDUS44 KFWD 150705
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
205 AM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         99        MM 104    2011  90      9       87        
  MINIMUM         72        MM  50    1902  67      5       71        
  AVERAGE         86                        79      7       79      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.78 1985   0.10  -0.10     0.34    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.17                      1.42  -1.25     4.43    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.17                      1.42  -1.25     4.43    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.66                     23.58   4.08    14.04    
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       21                        14      7       14       
  MONTH TO DATE  295                       221     74      243       
  SINCE SEP 1    295                       221     74      243       
  SINCE JAN 1   2536                      2416    120     2952       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (110)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    MM   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    MM            
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.0                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  POSSIBLE SUNSHINE  MM                                              
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.1                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    79           500 AM                                     
 LOWEST     24           500 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    52                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   90       100      1911                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   67        49      1989                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   734 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$


FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 11:42 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 23:42:23

684 
FXUS64 KFWD 150442
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1142 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.AVIATION...
/6Z TAFS/

No significant aviation concerns are expected through the period
with light easterly winds continuing. Any afternoon scattered
showers or storms should be well to the south of the major
airports.  VFR should prevail through the period.

Dunn

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Issued 1251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Through Sunday Evening/

Tranquil and unseasonably warm weather is anticipated over the 
next 24 to 30 hours across North and Central Texas. There is a low
potential for a few showers across East and North Texas, but this
threat is far too low to include in the forecast. 

Ridging continues to dominate the weather across the Southern
Plains early this afternoon. Surface high pressure was noted
across parts of southeast Oklahoma at this hour, and this has
resulted in an east to northeast flow regime across North and
Central Texas. This afternoon, temperatures will climb into the 
mid 90s as boundary layer mixing continues. Some hi-res guidance 
does imply the potential for a few showers, but the 12 UTC FWD 
RAOB and RAP forecast soundings suggest that this potential is not
worthy of a mention in the forecast.

Tonight, clouds will diminish and light winds are forecast. This
should foster a decent radiational cooling episode with overnight
lows dipping into the 60s and 70s. Lows across the more urbanized
areas may remain in the mid 70s. Overall, it should be a pretty
pleasant overnight period. Sunday will feature another day of
quiet weather, though low level moisture may increase some as an
easterly wave currently across the Central Gulf of Mexico
continues to churn westward. The potential for showers/storms 
still appears low, but there could be an increase in tropospheric 
moisture (particularly across East Texas), and this may result in
a few more clouds. Regardless, it's likely that temperatures will
still climb into the mid to upper 90s with the warmest conditions
across the Big Country (generally west of US HWY 281). 

Bain

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 320 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Sunday Night through Saturday/

From Sunday Night through Tuesday, the upper level ridge will
remain centered to our northeast with an upper level trough 
across the western half of the CONUS. In the Gulf of Mexico, a 
weak upper level disturbance will slowly meander along the Texas 
Coast, and then will likely dissipate around the middle of next 
week. However, the presence of this upper level disturbance will 
have transported higher moisture into the region with PWAT values
slightly above normal for this time of year. This will yield some
rain chances across mainly Central Texas Monday through Thursday,
but some isolated or scattered showers and/or storms may creep 
into North Texas, too.

Rain chances Monday through Thursday range from 20-30 percent
across parts of North Texas, to 40-60 percent across parts of 
Central Texas. The reason for the increase in rain chances is 
largely do to increased consistency and confidence in rain 
reaching Central Texas. The coverage should be scattered for the 
most part, with possible small clusters occurring at times. This 
does not mean everyone will see rain, but some locations in 
Central Texas could receive half an inch or more of rain this 
week. Widespread severe weather is not expected but gusty winds, 
periods of heavy rainfall and possibly even some small hail will 
be possible.

Temperatures will continue to be warm next week, but occasional
winds around 10 mph will provide some relief. Generally look for
highs in the lower to mid 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Heat index values will approach 100 degrees at times
next week, but are currently not expected to go much higher than
that. We may see some slightly cooler daytime temperatures by the
end of the week.

The upper level ridge will continue to largely dominate our
sensible weather heading into next weekend, while the principal
storm track remains well to our north. Remnants of the weak
disturbance that dissipates along the Texas Coast may be drawn
north late in the week, allowing for scattered showers and storms
to spread a little farther north. Widespread rain is still not 
expected, and unfortunately not everyone will see rain this week.

JLDunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    74  98  75  97  76 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Waco                71  99  74  97  74 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Paris               71  96  73  94  72 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Denton              73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              77  99  76  97  77 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             73  96  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           72  96  73  96  73 /   5   0   5   5   5 
Temple              71  98  73  96  73 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Mineral Wells       70  98  71  95  71 /   5   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

91

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 6:27 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 18:27:14

180 
FXUS64 KFWD 142327
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
627 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019


.AVIATION...
/00z TAFs/ 

Concerns: None major; VFR with east winds prevailing. Possible 
SHRA/TS tomorrow afternoon across central and southern Texas.

VFR will prevail through the entire TAF valid period. High 
pressure across the region will keep chances for precipitation 
low, though a few showers and isolated thunderstorms may attempt 
to develop east and south of D10 airspace tomorrow afternoon. 
There is a small chance of a shower developing in the vicinity of 
the Waco terminal after 19-20Z, however the confidence of this is 
too low to include VCSH/VCTS in the TAF ATTM.

Light east to southeast winds under 10 knots should persist 
through the period with diurnal CU between 060-080 tomorrow 
afternoon.

Bonnette

&&


.SHORT TERM.../Issued 1251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Through Sunday Evening/

Tranquil and unseasonably warm weather is anticipated over the 
next 24 to 30 hours across North and Central Texas. There is a low
potential for a few showers across East and North Texas, but this
threat is far too low to include in the forecast. 

Ridging continues to dominate the weather across the Southern
Plains early this afternoon. Surface high pressure was noted
across parts of southeast Oklahoma at this hour, and this has
resulted in an east to northeast flow regime across North and
Central Texas. This afternoon, temperatures will climb into the 
mid 90s as boundary layer mixing continues. Some hi-res guidance 
does imply the potential for a few showers, but the 12 UTC FWD 
RAOB and RAP forecast soundings suggest that this potential is not
worthy of a mention in the forecast.

Tonight, clouds will diminish and light winds are forecast. This
should foster a decent radiational cooling episode with overnight
lows dipping into the 60s and 70s. Lows across the more urbanized
areas may remain in the mid 70s. Overall, it should be a pretty
pleasant overnight period. Sunday will feature another day of
quiet weather, though low level moisture may increase some as an
easterly wave currently across the Central Gulf of Mexico
continues to churn westward. The potential for showers/storms 
still appears low, but there could be an increase in tropospheric 
moisture (particularly across East Texas), and this may result in
a few more clouds. Regardless, it's likely that temperatures will
still climb into the mid to upper 90s with the warmest conditions
across the Big Country (generally west of US HWY 281). 

Bain

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 320 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Sunday Night through Saturday/

From Sunday Night through Tuesday, the upper level ridge will
remain centered to our northeast with an upper level trough 
across the western half of the CONUS. In the Gulf of Mexico, a 
weak upper level disturbance will slowly meander along the Texas 
Coast, and then will likely dissipate around the middle of next 
week. However, the presence of this upper level disturbance will 
have transported higher moisture into the region with PWAT values
slightly above normal for this time of year. This will yield some
rain chances across mainly Central Texas Monday through Thursday,
but some isolated or scattered showers and/or storms may creep 
into North Texas, too.

Rain chances Monday through Thursday range from 20-30 percent
across parts of North Texas, to 40-60 percent across parts of 
Central Texas. The reason for the increase in rain chances is 
largely do to increased consistency and confidence in rain 
reaching Central Texas. The coverage should be scattered for the 
most part, with possible small clusters occurring at times. This 
does not mean everyone will see rain, but some locations in 
Central Texas could receive half an inch or more of rain this 
week. Widespread severe weather is not expected but gusty winds, 
periods of heavy rainfall and possibly even some small hail will 
be possible.

Temperatures will continue to be warm next week, but occasional
winds around 10 mph will provide some relief. Generally look for
highs in the lower to mid 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Heat index values will approach 100 degrees at times
next week, but are currently not expected to go much higher than
that. We may see some slightly cooler daytime temperatures by the
end of the week.

The upper level ridge will continue to largely dominate our
sensible weather heading into next weekend, while the principal
storm track remains well to our north. Remnants of the weak
disturbance that dissipates along the Texas Coast may be drawn
north late in the week, allowing for scattered showers and storms
to spread a little farther north. Widespread rain is still not 
expected, and unfortunately not everyone will see rain this week.

JLDunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    74  98  75  97  76 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Waco                71  99  74  97  74 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Paris               71  96  73  94  72 /   0   0   0   0   0 
Denton              73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              77  99  76  97  77 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             73  96  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           72  96  73  96  73 /   5   0   5   5   5 
Temple              71  98  73  96  73 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Mineral Wells       70  98  71  95  71 /   5   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

06/22

DALLAS FORT WORTH Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 98 Low: 75 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 16:28:39

958 
CDUS44 KFWD 142128
CLIDFW


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
427 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2019


................................... 

...THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1898 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         98    252 PM 102    1953  89      9       86       
  MINIMUM         75    612 AM  48    1902  68      7       71       
  AVERAGE         87                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.39 1934   0.09  -0.09     0.45    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.00                      1.31  -1.31     3.15    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.00                      1.31  -1.31     3.15    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.13                     25.42   1.71    25.36    
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    13   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SE (140)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (140)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.5                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE DALLAS FORT WORTH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   89       100      1980                    
                                             1965                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   68        51      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2019.....SUNRISE   711 AM CDT   SUNSET   736 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

WACO Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 99 Low: 73 Precip: 0.0 Snow: M
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 16:28:39

957 
CDUS44 KFWD 142128
CLIACT


CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX                               
427 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2019


................................... 

...THE WACO CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...
VALID AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1901 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         99    300 PM 104    2011  90      9       87       
  MINIMUM         73    700 AM  50    1902  67      6       71       
  AVERAGE         86                                                
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.78 1985   0.10  -0.10     0.34    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.17                      1.42  -1.25     4.43    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.17                      1.42  -1.25     4.43    
  SINCE JAN 1     27.66                     23.58   4.08    14.04    
                                                                     
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED     8   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     E (70)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    MM   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    MM            
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.9                                         




..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WACO CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   90       100      1911                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   67        49      1989                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   736 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   735 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

FWD issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 14, 3:24 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 15:24:11

554 
FLUS44 KFWD 142024
HWOFWD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
324 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151145-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
324 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Isolated and scattered showers and storms are possible across the
region next week, with the best rain chances in Central Texas. Most
of this activity will occur in the afternoon and early evening 
hours. Severe weather is not expected but gusty winds and brief 
heavy rainfall may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 

$$

JLDunn

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 3:20 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 15:20:50

758 
FXUS64 KFWD 142020
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
320 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019


.SHORT TERM.../Issued 1251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Through Sunday Evening/

Tranquil and unseasonably warm weather is anticipated over the 
next 24 to 30 hours across North and Central Texas. There is a low
potential for a few showers across East and North Texas, but this
threat is far too low to include in the forecast. 

Ridging continues to dominate the weather across the Southern
Plains early this afternoon. Surface high pressure was noted
across parts of southeast Oklahoma at this hour, and this has
resulted in an east to northeast flow regime across North and
Central Texas. This afternoon, temperatures will climb into the 
mid 90s as boundary layer mixing continues. Some hi-res guidance 
does imply the potential for a few showers, but the 12 UTC FWD 
RAOB and RAP forecast soundings suggest that this potential is not
worthy of a mention in the forecast.

Tonight, clouds will diminish and light winds are forecast. This
should foster a decent radiational cooling episode with overnight
lows dipping into the 60s and 70s. Lows across the more urbanized
areas may remain in the mid 70s. Overall, it should be a pretty
pleasant overnight period. Sunday will feature another day of
quiet weather, though low level moisture may increase some as an
easterly wave currently across the Central Gulf of Mexico
continues to churn westward. The potential for showers/storms 
still appears low, but there could be an increase in tropospheric 
moisture (particularly across East Texas), and this may result in
a few more clouds. Regardless, it's likely that temperatures will
still climb into the mid to upper 90s with the warmest conditions
across the Big Country (generally west of US HWY 281). 

Bain

&&

.LONG TERM...
/Sunday Night through Saturday/

From Sunday Night through Tuesday, the upper level ridge will
remain centered to our northeast with an upper level trough 
across the western half of the CONUS. In the Gulf of Mexico, a 
weak upper level disturbance will slowly meander along the Texas 
Coast, and then will likely dissipate around the middle of next 
week. However, the presence of this upper level disturbance will 
have transported higher moisture into the region with PWAT values
slightly above normal for this time of year. This will yield some
rain chances across mainly Central Texas Monday through Thursday,
but some isolated or scattered showers and/or storms may creep 
into North Texas, too.

Rain chances Monday through Thursday range from 20-30 percent
across parts of North Texas, to 40-60 percent across parts of 
Central Texas. The reason for the increase in rain chances is 
largely do to increased consistency and confidence in rain 
reaching Central Texas. The coverage should be scattered for the 
most part, with possible small clusters occurring at times. This 
does not mean everyone will see rain, but some locations in 
Central Texas could receive half an inch or more of rain this 
week. Widespread severe weather is not expected but gusty winds, 
periods of heavy rainfall and possibly even some small hail will 
be possible.

Temperatures will continue to be warm next week, but occasional
winds around 10 mph will provide some relief. Generally look for
highs in the lower to mid 90s with overnight lows in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Heat index values will approach 100 degrees at times
next week, but are currently not expected to go much higher than
that. We may see some slightly cooler daytime temperatures by the
end of the week.

The upper level ridge will continue to largely dominate our
sensible weather heading into next weekend, while the principal
storm track remains well to our north. Remnants of the weak
disturbance that dissipates along the Texas Coast may be drawn
north late in the week, allowing for scattered showers and storms
to spread a little farther north. Widespread rain is still not 
expected, and unfortunately not everyone will see rain this week.

JLDunn

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/

/18 UTC TAF Cycle/ 

Concerns---None major. VFR. 

VFR will prevail through the entire TAF cycle. High pressure 
across the region will keep chances for precipitation low, though 
a few showers may attempt to develop east and northeast of D10 
airspace. Light east to southeast winds under 10 knots are 
anticipated through the period with diurnal CU around FL070 this 
afternoon and again on Sunday afternoon. During the overnight 
period, skies should be mostly clear with just a few high clouds 
passing overhead. 

Bain

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    74  98  75  97  76 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Waco                71  99  74  97  74 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Paris               71  96  73  94  72 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Denton              73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
McKinney            73  97  73  96  74 /   5   0   0   0   0 
Dallas              77  99  76  97  77 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Terrell             73  96  75  97  74 /   5   0   0   0   5 
Corsicana           72  96  73  96  73 /   5   0   5   5   5 
Temple              71  98  73  96  73 /   5   0   5  10  10 
Mineral Wells       70  98  71  95  71 /   5   0   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

82/24

FWD issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 12:51 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 12:51:43

097 
FXUS64 KFWD 141751 AAA
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1251 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019


.SHORT TERM...

/Through Sunday Evening/

Tranquil and unseasonably warm weather is anticipated over the 
next 24 to 30 hours across North and Central Texas. There is a low
potential for a few showers across East and North Texas, but this
threat is far too low to include in the forecast. 

Ridging continues to dominate the weather across the Southern
Plains early this afternoon. Surface high pressure was noted
across parts of southeast Oklahoma at this hour, and this has
resulted in an east to northeast flow regime across North and
Central Texas. This afternoon, temperatures will climb into the 
mid 90s as boundary layer mixing continues. Some hi-res guidance 
does imply the potential for a few showers, but the 12 UTC FWD 
RAOB and RAP forecast soundings suggest that this potential is not
worthy of a mention in the forecast.

Tonight, clouds will diminish and light winds are forecast. This
should foster a decent radiational cooling episode with overnight
lows dipping into the 60s and 70s. Lows across the more urbanized
areas may remain in the mid 70s. Overall, it should be a pretty
pleasant overnight period. Sunday will feature another day of
quiet weather, though low level moisture may increase some as an
easterly wave currently across the Central Gulf of Mexico
continues to churn westward. The potential for showers/storms 
still appears low, but there could be an increase in tropospheric 
moisture (particularly across East Texas), and this may result in
a few more clouds. Regardless, it's likely that temperatures will
still climb into the mid to upper 90s with the warmest conditions
across the Big Country (generally west of US HWY 281). 

Bain

&&

.AVIATION...

/18 UTC TAF Cycle/ 

Concerns---None major. VFR. 

VFR will prevail through the entire TAF cycle. High pressure 
across the region will keep chances for precipitation low, though 
a few showers may attempt to develop east and northeast of D10 
airspace. Light east to southeast winds under 10 knots are 
anticipated through the period with diurnal CU around FL070 this 
afternoon and again on Sunday afternoon. During the overnight 
period, skies should be mostly clear with just a few high clouds 
passing overhead. 

Bain

&&


.LONG TERM... /Issued 249 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/
/Sunday onward/

An upper-level ridge presently over the Southeast will retrograde
to the west over the weekend, bringing a return to hot and dry
conditions. Saturday (see above) and Sunday both look to be hot,
with Sunday likely to be the hotter of the two days. Waco's
official forecast high for Sunday is 99 F, which is one degree shy
of the record set over a century ago back in 1911.

As we head into the work week, a deep mid-tropospheric trough will
dig into the Western United States, resulting in surface pressure
falls along the lee of the Rocky Mountains. While the upper-level
ridge will remain overhead, it will be a bit weaker. Combined with
enhanced southerly flow, we may manage to get some seabreeze
convective in Central Texas on Tuesday and Wednesday. This pattern
looks to more or less continue into late week, though the ridge
may weaken a bit further. Because of the weaker ridging, will
paint slight chance to chance PoPs across the entire county
warning area for Thursday and into the start of next weekend. Any
convection that develops will be disorganized "garden variety"
type thunderstorms, with little severe weather threat. The main
threats from thunderstorms would be wind gusts over 40 mph, 
occasional cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, and brief heavy 
downpours.

Beyond the forecast period, the GFS and ECMWF are in significant
disagreement late next weekend and into the following week. The
GFS brings a strong trough into the Western/Central United States,
and drives a fairly stout surface cold front through late next 
Sunday. The GFS however seems to be in splendid isolation with the
rest of the model guidance. The ECMWF and GFS Ensemble mean 
continue to show ridging next weekend and beyond, with the 
deterministic ECMWF having no indication of a cold front through 
the next ten days. Climatologically, we should see some sort of 
cold front in the next couple of weeks, but unfortunately, the 
extended range model guidance does not offer much hope. CPC 
outlooks continue to indicate increased probabilities of above 
normal temperatures through the end of the month, so barring a 
surprise strong cold front, September 2019 may turn out to be one 
of the warmest Septembers on record for both DFW and Waco.

37

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    97  74  98  76  97 /   0   5   0   0   0 
Waco                98  71  99  74  97 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Paris               94  71  96  72  94 /   5   5   0   0   0 
Denton              96  73  97  73  96 /   0   5   0   0   5 
McKinney            96  73  97  73  96 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Dallas              98  77  99  76  97 /   5   5   0   0   0 
Terrell             97  73  96  74  97 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Corsicana           98  72  96  74  95 /   5   5   0   0   5 
Temple              97  71  98  73  96 /   5   5   0   0  10 
Mineral Wells       95  70  98  71  94 /   5   5   0   0   5 

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

24/82


GTXWXBot[OK]:

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 10:53 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 22:54:05

066 
FXUS64 KOUN 160353
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1053 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.AVIATION...
VFR will apply through the forecast period. Only a few high clouds
are expected. Winds will remain at or below 10 kt overnight, and
then increase slightly by late Mon morning. Southeast to south
winds will remain present.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  91  71  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         70  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  70  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           68  92  69  91 /   0   0   0  10 
Ponca City OK     69  91  70  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         72  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03/03

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 6:09 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 18:09:28

757 
FXUS64 KOUN 152309
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
609 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
See the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR will apply through the forecast period. South winds around 10
kt or less are expected for most terminals through tonight. A
slight increase in speeds will return late Monday morning. Only a
few high clouds anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  91  71  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         70  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  70  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           68  92  69  91 /   0   0   0  10 
Ponca City OK     69  91  70  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         72  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03/03

WICHITA FALLS Sep 15 Climate Report: High: 96 Low: 70 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 17:11:42

089 
CDUS44 KOUN 152211 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
511 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 15 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         96    352 PM 106    1965  88      8       86       
  MINIMUM         70    642 AM  46    1993  64      6       71       
  AVERAGE         83                        76      7       79      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.21 1996   0.09  -0.09      T      
  MONTH TO DATE    1.31                      1.50  -0.19     2.34    
  SINCE SEP 1      1.31                      1.50  -0.19     2.34    
  SINCE JAN 1     22.15                     21.23   0.92    19.98    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.0  2002   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY           18                        11      7       14       
  MONTH TO DATE  276                       205     71      178       
  SINCE SEP 1    276                       205     71      178       
  SINCE JAN 1   2168                      2150     18     2547       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    14   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (170)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (180)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     3.8                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    84           500 AM                                     
 LOWEST     33           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    59                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88       102      1965                    
                                             1956                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   63        47      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   717 AM CDT   SUNSET   741 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   718 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Sep 15 Climate Report: High: 91 Low: 68 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 17:11:25

115 
CDUS44 KOUN 152211
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
511 PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 15 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         91    359 PM 100    1965  85      6       83       
                                      1956                          
  MINIMUM         68    647 AM  44    1993  64      4       70       
  AVERAGE         80                        74      6       77      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.35 1925   0.14  -0.14     0.19    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.53                      2.02  -1.49     5.60    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.53                      2.02  -1.49     5.60    
  SINCE JAN 1     38.66                     26.91  11.75    32.95    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY           15                        10      5       12       
  MONTH TO DATE  216                       180     36      150       
  SINCE SEP 1    216                       180     36      150       
  SINCE JAN 1   1723                      1917   -194     1905       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    13   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (200)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    16   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (180)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     6.8                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST    97          1200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     41           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    69                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   85       101      1978                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   63        44      1993                    
                                             1903                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   714 AM CDT   SUNSET   736 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 3:14 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 15:14:21

503 
FXUS64 KOUN 152014
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
314 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
There is little change to the overall forecast, as the medium-
range models continue to show an approaching mid/upper-level
trough late this week, along with increasing moisture from the
south. The southern moisture is mainly associated with the
disturbance currently working its way west across the Gulf of 
Mexico. While models are not in very good agreement beyond Friday,
it does look like an "unsettled" pattern will persist for several
more days in any case.

With the lack of clouds/rain the next several days, temperatures 
will remain above average until at least Wednesday, possibly 
beyond.

CmS
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  91  71  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         70  92  71  92 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  70  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           68  92  69  91 /   0   0   0  10 
Ponca City OK     69  91  70  90 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         72  94  71  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 12:06 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 12:07:10

314 
FXUS64 KOUN 151706
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1206 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
18Z TAF discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions continue.

South to southwest winds, with some gusts around 20kts at CSM/WWR
will relax and back late this afternoon. A few high-based
afternoon cu possible. Light southeast winds overnight with mainly
clear skies. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 515 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF discussion below.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions with some high clouds moving across the area this
TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 433 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Mid-level ridging will continue to dominate the weather pattern
over the central United States for the next few days, and with
that, the warmer than average temperatures will persist. Somewhat
of a wild card is the area of low pressure in the western Gulf of
Mexico that may bring some precipitation chances into Texas early
this week, but current indications are that these showers will
likely remain south of our forecast area.

Later this week as the large-scale trough in the west weakens and
lifts into the northern Plains, a cold front will start to slowly
move south through the Plains. There is also some signal that the
some southwesterly flow aloft may nudge closer to the area as the
ridge axis shifts slightly eastward. These will bring at least
some potential for precipitation later in the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  70  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         93  70  93  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  95  70  94  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           93  68  92  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     92  69  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         96  72  95  72 /  10  10   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23/30

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 15, 12:01 PM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 12:01:58

536 
FLUS44 KOUN 151701
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161100-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1201 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Low chances of thunderstorms will return to the area on Wednesday
night with at least some potential of storms across portions of
the area through Saturday. The most likely time for storms will 
be Friday. A few strong storms will be possible, but organized 
severe weather is currently not expected.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 5:15 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 05:15:54

044 
FXUS64 KOUN 151015
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
515 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with some high clouds moving across the area this
TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 433 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Mid-level ridging will continue to dominate the weather pattern
over the central United States for the next few days, and with
that, the warmer than average temperatures will persist. Somewhat
of a wild card is the area of low pressure in the western Gulf of
Mexico that may bring some precipitation chances into Texas early
this week, but current indications are that these showers will
likely remain south of our forecast area.

Later this week as the large-scale trough in the west weakens and
lifts into the northern Plains, a cold front will start to slowly
move south through the Plains. There is also some signal that the
some southwesterly flow aloft may nudge closer to the area as the
ridge axis shifts slightly eastward. These will bring at least
some potential for precipitation later in the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  70  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         93  70  93  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  95  70  94  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           93  68  92  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     92  69  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         96  72  95  72 /  10  10   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

25/26/99

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 15, 4:54 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 04:54:56

148 
FLUS44 KOUN 150954
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
454 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161000-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
454 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Low chances of thunderstorms will return to the area on Wednesday
night with at least some potential of storms across portions of
the area through Saturday. The most likely time for storms will 
be Friday. A few strong storms will be possible, but organized 
severe weather is currently not expected.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 15, 4:33 AM CDT
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 04:33:53

923 
FXUS64 KOUN 150933
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
433 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Mid-level ridging will continue to dominate the weather pattern
over the central United States for the next few days, and with
that, the warmer than average temperatures will persist. Somewhat
of a wild card is the area of low pressure in the western Gulf of
Mexico that may bring some precipitation chances into Texas early
this week, but current indications are that these showers will
likely remain south of our forecast area.

Later this week as the large-scale trough in the west weakens and
lifts into the northern Plains, a cold front will start to slowly
move south through the Plains. There is also some signal that the
some southwesterly flow aloft may nudge closer to the area as the
ridge axis shifts slightly eastward. These will bring at least
some potential for precipitation later in the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  91  70  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         93  70  93  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  95  70  94  71 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           93  68  92  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     92  69  90  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         96  72  95  72 /  10  10   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

WICHITA FALLS Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 71 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 01:27:41

887 
CDUS44 KOUN 150627 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
126 AM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         93    401 PM 107    1965  89      4       90       
  MINIMUM         71    553 AM  45    1945  64      7       68       
  AVERAGE         82                        76      6       79      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          2.03 1949   0.10  -0.10     0.02    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.31                      1.41  -0.10     2.34    
  SINCE SEP 1      1.31                      1.41  -0.10     2.34    
  SINCE JAN 1     22.15                     21.14   1.01    19.98    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0  2002   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       17                        12      5       14       
  MONTH TO DATE  258                       194     64      164       
  SINCE SEP 1    258                       194     64      164       
  SINCE JAN 1   2150                      2139     11     2533       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    15   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (180)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SE (130)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.5                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.2                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST   100           300 AM                                     
 LOWEST     36           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    68                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88       106      1965                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        46      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   717 AM CDT   SUNSET   741 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   718 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 89 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Sunday September 15, 2019, 01:27:26

326 
CDUS44 KOUN 150627
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
126 AM CDT SUN SEP 15 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 YESTERDAY                                                           
  MAXIMUM         89    404 PM 102    1965  85      4       87       
  MINIMUM         67    628 AM  47    1993  64      3       67       
                                      1961                          
  AVERAGE         78                        75      3       77      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  YESTERDAY        0.00          3.61 1957   0.14  -0.14     0.00    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.53                      1.88  -1.35     5.41    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.53                      1.88  -1.35     5.41    
  SINCE JAN 1     38.66                     26.77  11.89    32.76    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  YESTERDAY        0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  YESTERDAY        0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  YESTERDAY       13                        10      3       12       
  MONTH TO DATE  201                       170     31      138       
  SINCE SEP 1    201                       170     31      138       
  SINCE JAN 1   1708                      1907   -199     1893       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (210)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    22   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (220)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     7.9                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.                        
  FOG                                                                

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST   100           200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     47           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    74                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   85       100      1965                    
                                             1956                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        44      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 16 2019.....SUNRISE   714 AM CDT   SUNSET   736 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          




$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 9:47 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 21:47:49

143 
FXUS64 KOUN 150247
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
947 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR will apply through the forecast period. Expect scattered high
clouds most of the night. South winds around 10 kt will continue
overnight. They will increase in speed slightly by late Sunday 
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  91  70  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         69  93  70  93 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  71  95  71  94 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           68  93  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     69  91  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         71  96  72  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03/03

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 6:23 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 18:24:06

045 
FXUS64 KOUN 142323
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
623 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR will apply through the forecast period. Expect a few high
clouds. South winds around 10 kt will continue overnight, with a
slight increase in speeds by late Sunday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  91  70  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         69  93  70  93 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  71  95  71  94 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           68  93  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     69  91  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         71  96  72  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/03/03

WICHITA FALLS Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 93 Low: 71 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 17:11:39

141 
CDUS44 KOUN 142211 RRA
CLISPS

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
511 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2019


................................... 

...THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1897 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         93    359 PM 107    1965  89      4       90       
  MINIMUM         71    553 AM  45    1945  64      7       68       
  AVERAGE         82                        76      6       79      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          2.03 1949   0.10  -0.10     0.02    
  MONTH TO DATE    1.31                      1.41  -0.10     2.34    
  SINCE SEP 1      1.31                      1.41  -0.10     2.34    
  SINCE JAN 1     22.15                     21.14   1.01    19.98    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.0  2002   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY           17                        12      5       14       
  MONTH TO DATE  258                       194     64      164       
  SINCE SEP 1    258                       194     64      164       
  SINCE JAN 1   2150                      2139     11     2533       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    15   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     S (180)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    20   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     S (170)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     5.2                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.3                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.                               

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST   100           300 AM                                     
 LOWEST     36           200 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    68                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE WICHITA FALLS CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   88       106      1965                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        46      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2019.....SUNRISE   716 AM CDT   SUNSET   742 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   717 AM CDT   SUNSET   741 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OKLAHOMA CITY Sep 14 Climate Report: High: 89 Low: 67 Precip: 0.0 Snow: 0.0
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 17:11:27

227 
CDUS44 KOUN 142211
CLIOKC

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK                                   
511 PM CDT SAT SEP 14 2019


................................... 

...THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR SEPTEMBER 14 2019...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0500 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1981 TO 2010
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1890 TO 2019


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL             
..................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                     
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         89    359 PM 102    1965  85      4       87       
  MINIMUM         67    628 AM  47    1993  64      3       67       
                                      1961                          
  AVERAGE         78                        75      3       77      
                                                                     
PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          3.61 1957   0.14  -0.14     0.00    
  MONTH TO DATE    0.53                      1.88  -1.35     5.41    
  SINCE SEP 1      0.53                      1.88  -1.35     5.41    
  SINCE JAN 1     38.66                     26.77  11.89    32.76    
                                                                     
SNOWFALL (IN)                                                        
  TODAY            0.0           0.0    MM   0.0    0.0      0.0     
  MONTH TO DATE    0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE SEP 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
  SINCE JUL 1      0.0                       0.0    0.0      0.0     
                                                                     
DEGREE DAYS                                                          
 HEATING                                                             
  TODAY            0                         0      0        0       
  MONTH TO DATE    0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE SEP 1      0                         0      0        0       
  SINCE JUL 1      0                         0      0        0       
                                                                     
 COOLING                                                             
  TODAY           13                        10      3       12       
  MONTH TO DATE  201                       170     31      138       
  SINCE SEP 1    201                       170     31      138       
  SINCE JAN 1   1708                      1907   -199     1893       
..................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    16   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION    SW (210)      
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    22   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION    SW (220)      
  AVERAGE WIND SPEED     8.3                                         

                                                                     
SKY COVER                                                            
  AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.4                                              

                                                                     
WEATHER CONDITIONS                                                  
 THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.                            
  FOG                                                                

                                                                     
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)                                          
 HIGHEST   100           200 AM                                     
 LOWEST     47           300 PM                                     
 AVERAGE    74                                                       

..........................................................

                                                                     
THE OKLAHOMA CITY CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                    
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   85       100      1965                    
                                             1956                    
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   64        44      1993                    

                                                                     
SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
SEPTEMBER 14 2019.....SUNRISE   712 AM CDT   SUNSET   739 PM CDT   
SEPTEMBER 15 2019.....SUNRISE   713 AM CDT   SUNSET   738 PM CDT   

                                                                    
-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.                                      
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.                                
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.                                       
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.                                          

$$

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 3:13 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 15:13:15

037 
FXUS64 KOUN 142013
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
313 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...
There is a possibility of a few isolated showers until around
sunset for the southern 1/3 or so of our forecast area. There are
hints of this on satellite, radar (KFDR), and in the HRRR. Given
the tiny size and very isolated nature of any such showers, there
is no mention of them in the forecast at this point.

There is little to no chance of rain for the next several days as
a dry pattern remains over the region. For similar reasons,
temperatures will remain generally above the seasonal averages.

Late in the week, mainly Thursday and Friday (and again just
beyond the range of this forecast early the following week), rain
chances will rise again. The source of the rain chances is mainly
the result of a passing mid/upper-level trough (ECMWF) or the 
arrival of tropical moisture from the remains of the current 
disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico (GFS). Either way, there will be
a chance of showers/storms, but there is still enough uncertainty
in timing/placement/coverage to keep PoPs in the slight chance to
chance categories.

CmS
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  91  70  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         69  93  70  93 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  71  95  71  94 /   0   0   0  10 
Gage OK           68  93  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     69  91  69  91 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         71  96  72  94 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23

OUN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 14, 12:00 PM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 12:02:44

215 
FXUS64 KOUN 141700
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

.DISCUSSION...
18Z TAF discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions continue.

A few mid/high clouds this afternoon with some increase in south
winds. Likely see some gusts above 20kts at CSM/WWR. Winds
diminish this evening with mainly clear skies. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 610 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
12Z TAF discussion below.

AVIATION...
Areas of low stratus (LIFR/IFR) will affect portions of the area
this morning. Reduced visibility will also be possible at some of
the TAF sites. The clouds and fog are expected to decrease/end
later this morning. VFR conditions expected for the rest of the
TAF period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019/ 

DISCUSSION...
Wind will become south today and temperatures will rise more above
normal through most of next week. An upper high pressure system
aloft over the southern plains and southern Mississippi Valley
will mostly keep the westerlies to the north and west of Oklahoma
through the middle of next week. This will mean no change in the
hot and humid airmass, but also little chance for any rain during
that time. By Thursday, a long-wave trough moving into the western
U.S. may begin to influence southern plains weather with low
chances for rain and thunderstorms into next weekend. Still, no
front is anticipated until after day 7.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  87  69  90  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Hobart OK         91  69  93  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Wichita Falls TX  92  69  94  70 /   0   0   0   0 
Gage OK           92  67  93  67 /   0   0   0   0 
Ponca City OK     87  69  90  69 /   0   0   0   0 
Durant OK         94  70  95  71 /  10  10   0   0 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

30/23/30

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 14, 11:33 AM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 11:33:55

116 
FLUS44 KOUN 141633
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1133 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151100-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1133 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
There are low chances for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.
Isolated strong to severe storms may occur, but organized severe 
weather is not expected.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

OUN issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Sep 14, 7:58 AM CDT
Posted on Saturday September 14, 2019, 07:58:44

269 
FLUS44 KOUN 141258 AAA
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
758 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151300-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
758 AM CDT Sat Sep 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Fog...
Patchy fog will occur this morning, reducing visibility to less
than a mile at times. The fog is expected to dissipate by mid-
morning. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
There are low chances for thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.
Isolated strong to severe storms may occur, but organized severe 
weather is not expected.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$